This week on the podcast I’m thrilled to have Quint Tatro join me as our guest. I’ve been following his work for a long time and have always appreciated his technical approach to managing portfolios at his advisory firm Joule Financial. This was a great conversation where Quint walks us through how he got to Technical Analysis in the first place and how he applies those methods on a daily basis. We went over the overall stock market and how he wants to overweight International Stocks and Emerging markets heading into 2020. He also likes Gold bigger picture here and the mining stocks that come a long with it. I really enjoyed this one. Give it a listen!
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[Premium] Q4 Playbook (Part 1/3)
As we head into 2020, we start from scratch with our Q4 playbook and outline our thoughts on every asset class and our plan to profit in the quarter (and year) ahead.
Part 1 of this playbook will cover our macro view, touching on Equities, Commodities, Currencies, and Rates.
Part 2 of this playbook will delve deeper into Indian Equities, going sector by sector to identify the trends that matter.
Part 3 of this playbook will outline the individual stocks we want to be buying and selling within the context of today’s environment.
Media Appearance: Stocks, Bonds, Gold & Energy
I was down in New York City this week and dropped by the Nasdaq to chat with my old pal Frances Horodelski on BNN Bloomberg. Frances and I have been rapping about the markets for the better part of the past decade. It was great to chat with her once again.
In this short clip, we talk about the new bull market for stocks, rotation into Emerging Markets and Energy, where we think gold goes and how bad bonds are going to get hit if interest rates get to the 3% mark we’re looking for in the US 10-year Yield.
Here’s the clip in full: [Read more…]
Survey Says: Buy Stocks! Sell Gold! Sell Bonds!
In my opinion, the reason people have been so bearish towards stocks and fighting strong trends is because they’re allowing other biases influence their decision making. Whether they don’t agree with the Fed, or the Trump, the direction of the Economy, or whatever it is, they’re choosing to give more weight to these “opinions” than they do to price itself.
Fortunately for us, we’re 100% data driven. So we don’t care who the president is. We ignore everything the fed says and does. We assume anything a journalists creates is gossip, whether it is or isn’t. And we certainly don’t have time to care what the economy is doing.
So because we are so trained to focus on actual data, it’s a lot easier for us to ignore those whose job it is to distract us. It’s not “easy”, but it’s definitely easier for us as technicians than it is for most of society. The fact is most people are unaware, or choose not to care, that they’re consuming content produced by those with ulterior motives. They’re just here to sell ads to their sponsors while we’re only trying to make money in the market. It’s a big difference, and it becomes a problem.
So what we do is try to eliminate those biases and remove them from our decision making process entirely. I asked this question on Twitter this week and purposely took out the x and y axis so that we can focus on just price alone:
[Unlocked] Updated Precious Metals Risk Levels & Targets
It’s been a while since we’ve issued a Precious Metals update, so today we wanted to reiterate our risk management levels and targets on both the weekly and daily timeframes.
The Beginning of a New Bull Market In Stocks
People don’t like it when I tell them we’re near the beginning of a new bull market in stocks. For some reason, they prefer that cozy feeling of going to bed thinking stocks are near an important high, and they’ve somehow outsmarted the system by selling stocks in uptrends instead of buying them.
I’m convinced some of these people must be looking at their charts upside down.
Anyway, let’s take a look at the markets so I can show you why I think we’re closer to the beginning of a new bull market and not near the end of an old one: [Read more…]
Live Special Big Picture Conference Call Video Recording Dec 3, 2019
This is the video recording of our Special Live Conference Call held on the evening of December 3, 2019. We normally do this in the middle of each month, but I want to finish the year strong and make sure we’re prepared for 2020.
All Star Interviews Season 3, Episode 13: Neil Blalock, CMT – Chief Investment Officer & Owner of NJB Capital
Neil Blalock is my guest this week on the podcast. I believe he is absolutely the perfect compliment to all of the other guests we’ve had on over the years. While many technical analysis, especially on this podcast, come from an equities background, Neil was raised in Missouri and brought up with commodities all around him. It wasn’t until much later in his career that he focused more on the stock market. Because Technical Analysis can be applied to asset classes of all kinds, Neil is able to use his expertise across markets. What’s funny is that you can take Neil out of the farm, but you can’t take the farm away from him completely. When I asked him about what interests him out there, he went right for the Soybean Markets! Neil just can’t help himself and it’s a beauty to watch. In this episode we dive into the agriculture commodities market as well as the softs, precious metals and ultimately into the equities and interest rate markets. This was a really fun conversation with a different perspective than what you might be used to! [Read more…]
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