Going through charts and coming up with conclusions is not just something you do once. For this to work, Technical Analysis has to be a lifestyle. Getting away from the screen regularly and coming back open minded is part of that work / life balance. In this conversation I talk about some of the struggles I’ve had personally trying not to let the implications of us being right in our assessment impact my decision making. Thanks to Donnie Hensley and Speedtrader for being a part of Chart Summit 2019. [Read more…]
On this podcast episode, we’re flipping the script a bit. I was invited to come on the DailyFX Podcast hosted by Tyler Yell last week, and I wanted to share that audio with you here today. In this conversation, we discuss the recent Chart Summit in Breckenridge, CO, how and why I started Allstarcharts.com and what trends I’m currently seeing in the market. One thing we also talked about was the benefits of journaling and writing ideas down on paper. I really enjoyed this conversation so thank you Tyler Yell and DailyFX for inviting me on. [Read more…]
If there is any group out there that is feeling the frustration, it’s the gold bug community. Gold is at the same price today that it was a year ago, 5 years ago and 8 years ago. During that time frame, the S&P500 has more than doubled. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is up more that 14,000 points, again more than doubling during this period.
Even U.S. Treasury Bonds made money as interest rates collapsed. The bond ETF $TLT was up over 60% before retracing some of that over the past couple of years. But still, up substantially and clearly outperforming precious metals.
You could have literally been in anything other than these commodities and made money. But from epic frustration comes secular periods for profit. I think this is what we have here: [Read more…]
From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting
Tuesday we posted a mystery chart and asked you all to let us know what you would do. Buy, sell, or do nothing?
The majority of responses had a bearish bias, however, a few suggested buying the “failed breakdown” with a tight stop, and even fewer said wait it out. Both sides could prove to be right depending on the timeframe, but it’s clear the mixed signals make it tough to have conviction.
Let’s get into the real chart and why we feel it’s relevant.
You guys who know me already know that this is my favorite exercise of them all. We only do this 12 times a year. Let’s just say that it takes you an hour, if you really want to take your time, that’s 12 hours of your entire year. Think about the amount of time you spend each year performing other analysis. As far as I’m concerned, it’s not even close. These 6 hours (for me it’s 6) are easily the most valuable 6 hours I spend all year analyzing markets.
This process allows us to take a step back, which forces us to identify the direction of the primary trend. It’s impossible not to, especially when you’re seeing similar themes across Indexes, sectors and asset classes.
Here’s what stands out from this month’s review: [Read more…]
Andrew Adams is well known for his morning market commentary to thousands of financial advisors at Raymond James for many years. After working along side legendary strategist Jeff Saut, Andrew has started 2019 wearing his new trader hat. Andrew has wanted to go out on his own and trade full time and he has finally made that move. We here at Allstarcharts want to wish him the best of luck on his new endeavors. During this episode, Andrew tells us about his experiences at Raymond James, working with Jeff Saut, earning both his CFA and CMT designations, and now using this body of knowledge to enter the trading world full time. I asked Andrew about what he’s currently seeing in U.S. stocks, emerging markets, U.S. interest rates and precious metals. I really enjoyed this conversation with someone who is new to social trading scene. Make sure to follow him @DayTraderGator and give him a big welcome! [Read more…]
This is the video recording of the January 2019 Conference Call.
Vacation is over and January is in full gear. Over the holidays we had our downside targets hit in the S&P500, Dow Jones Industrial Average (23,350), Dow Jones Transportation Average (9300), Nasdaq100 (6150), and Russell2000 ETF (129). Now, just because these levels were achieved, doesn’t mean we can’t go substantially lower.
However, in this post we’re focused on the current mean reversion we’re seeing in stocks around the globe and how to profit from it. We’ll worry about later this year later this year. [Read more…]