Expert technical analysis of financial markets by JC Parets
by Tom Bruni
From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting
Global breadth continues to improve as US stocks press up against all-time highs and many individual countries make multi-year/all-time highs.
Today I want to look at a breakout happening in a market that doesn’t get much attention, Israel.
by Tom Bruni
From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting
Marijuana stocks have been an absolute disaster for longs in 2019, but one chart suggests that after a nearly 60% decline, the Horizons Medical Marijuana ETF and its components are set up for a counter-trend rally.
by Tom Bruni
From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting
New Mystery Chart!
For those new to the exercise, we take a chart of interest and remove the x/y-axes and any other labels that would help identify it. The chart can be any security in any asset class on any timeframe on an absolute or relative basis. Maybe it’s a custom index or inverted, who knows!
We do all this to put aside the biases we have associated with this specific security/the market and come to a conclusion based solely on price.
You can guess what it is if you must, but the real value comes from sharing what you would do right now. Buy, Sell, or Do Nothing?
by JC
I was in Las Vegas this past week for a bunch of meetings and conferences. There was a lot going on in that city. There were traders and analysts at every hotel on the strip. It was really cool to see old friends and, of course, meet new ones. I personally found myself in a half dozen hotels arguing about markets and seeing a bunch of live music. Check out this video I shot at the Santana show at Mandalay Bay.
On Thursday afternoon I was hanging out at Bally’s with David Keller talking about Stocks, Bonds, Gold, Copper, Sector Rotation, Market Breadth, Sentiment and the current market conditions. This one was short and sweet but we covered a lot: [Read more…]
by Tom Bruni
From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting
Stabilization in European Financials has been a big part of our bull case as they’re one of the largest sectors of the Stoxx Europe 600, our broad measure of European stocks, and many individual European countries.
The other aspect of it is risk appetite. If the worst of the worst sectors is catching a bid, then market participants are not likely pricing in the end of the world.
With that in mind, let’s take a look at what we’re seeing in the space right now and what it means for risk appetite.
by JC
When stocks are in strong uptrends, they tend to not only do well on an absolute basis, but they outperform their alternatives as well. Two obvious ones are Gold and Bonds.
So if stocks are going to fall hard, like so many people keep telling me, we are likely to see a bid in Precious Metals and US Treasury Bonds. As it turns out, however, we’ve only seen the exact opposite – bonds and metals struggling below overhead supply.
Back in August I made the case that if stocks were going much higher, as we thought they would, then the S&P500 will hold support at the late December lows relative to both Gold and Bonds. You can watch that short video here. This is what that chart looks like now: [Read more…]
JC recently published a piece highlighting the action in the Financials space:
Today we’re looking at Financials pushing up against their historic 2007 highs for the 3rd time.
The way I learned it was that the more times a level is tested the higher the likelihood that it breaks through. I don’t know if this is going to be it, or if it will take a 4th or a 5th test. But I do think there is a blog post coming soon where we’re looking at Financials at all-time price highs.
Meanwhile, on a total return basis, Financials are already making new all-time highs this week.
Looking at these charts, it is hard not to be enthusiastic about the potential for a major breakout in this sector: [Read more…]
We’re seeing a pretty sexy opportunity set up in the auto space. <— that’s a sentence I never thought I’d write.
Even more sexy is the potential breakout could be from a nearly TWELVE YEAR BASE. Mizutamari!!
Naturally, we want to go along for the ride. [Read more…]
