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All Star Charts

Expert technical analysis of financial markets by JC Parets

[Video] Behind The Scenes at All Star Charts: Team Meeting, The Building of our Q3 Playbook

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This is a behind the scenes video of our team meeting held on July 6, 2020 4PM ET.

Every quarter we put out our Playbook focusing on the most important themes around the world to take advantage of, and just as importantly, which areas to avoid. This is usually about 150 pages and really dives deep into stocks, rates, commodities, forex and the intermarket relationships between all of them.

I hope this gives you some perspective on how we approach markets using our Top/Down Approach. We’ve always found it helpful to understand where people are coming from and why they say certain things. I hope this can give you some of that context about us. I think it also helps you get to know our team a little better. Enjoy!

[Read more…]

[Options] He Ain’t No Mister Softee No More

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Anyone who traded in the late 90’s only referred to Microsoft stock as “Mister Softee.” It was stupid, as many stock nicknames were, but that’s what it was. And you seemingly couldn’t go a day without hearing “Mister Softee is making new highs!” from summer 1998 until early 2000.

I almost have PTSD from it.

Fast forward to today. Microsoft doesn’t get the same media attention today as it did back then, now being overshadowed by the Amazons, Facebooks, Googles, Apples, and Teslas, of the world. But the price action is definitely giving me flashbacks.

And the ASC research team has a gaudy 323 price target for Microsoft $MSFT over the next several months which has me interested in playing along with options. [Read more…]

Mystery Chart (08-04-2020)

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From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

New Mystery Chart!

For those new to the exercise, we take a chart of interest and remove the x/y-axes and any other labels that would help identify it. The chart can be any security in any asset class on any timeframe on an absolute or relative basis. Maybe it’s a custom index or inverted, who knows!

We do all this to put aside the biases we have associated with this specific security/the market and come to a conclusion based solely on price.

You can guess what it is if you must, but the real value comes from sharing what you would do right now. Buy, Sell, or Do Nothing?

[Read more…]

Louis’ Look (08-04-2020)

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From the desk of Louis Sykes @haumicharts

I’ve been incredibly fortunate to become the latest intern here at All Star Charts and as a part of the role, I’ll be writing a weekly note for the blog – documenting what I’m learning about technical analysis from the perspective of an intern.

Without further adieu, let’s jump into what stuck out to me this week.

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[Video] Big Trends Monthly w/ Josh Brown

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Welcome to my new Monthly show that I’m doing with my friend Josh Brown. He is one of the most widely followed Financial Advisors in the country, and someone who I’ve been arguing with about markets for the better part of 2 decades.

Every month I’ll bring a handful of the the most important Monthly charts that stood out during my review. In our first episode, I wanted to discuss the S&P500 making new all-time highs, Transports leading the way in July, Rates hitting new all-time lows and Bitcoin starting a new breakout.

This is the chart that I think tells the July story best. The further to the left the asset is, the closer it is to a new a 52 week high. The higher up the asset, the better its performance in July. Notice Transports in the upper right: Relative weakness overall, BUT the best performer this month, followed by Emerging Markets, Gold and base metals. The lonely US Dollar down below stands out doesn’t it?  [Read more…]

US Rates Make New All-time Lows

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This weekend we got a fresh batch of new Monthly Candlesticks. If you’re not using these charts to help you identify primary trends, I think you’re doing yourself a disservice. I rarely push a particular strategy or process. I usually just like to present the data, give you my conclusions, and then let you decide how, or if, you want to use it.

But for this, I don’t care who you are, Monthly Charts are an invaluable tool. Even if you’re a short-term trader or swing trader, we want to put all of that work into context, recognizing the major trends that are in place. Trust me, go build your own list of the most important charts and flip through them just once at the end of each month. I challenge you to start doing that every month and then come and tell me that it’s not helpful. I dare you!

Anyway, every time I go through this exercise, there are always a few things that stand out. This time around, I’d be remiss if I didn’t point out the new All-time lows in US Interest Rates. Whether you’re looking at 10s or 30s, we saw new All-time monthly closing lows across the board.

But why is this happening? Stocks are making new highs! Why are rates still crashing? [Read more…]

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