Expert technical analysis of financial markets by JC Parets
by Tom Bruni
From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting
This past weekend we wrote updates for our US and India subscribers, discussing stock market breadth around the globe. When I do these types of updates, we often get asked why we look at international markets both in their local currency terms AND as US-listed ETFs. Why not one or the other? In this quick post we’ll walk through our thought process behind it.
by Tom Bruni
From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting
We’ve written a lot of content on the blog about the current market environment over the last few weeks, but we want to use this post to quickly point to two broad-based breadth measures we’re watching to identify when a tradeable bottom might be in.
by Tom Bruni
From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting
In July I looked at the trend and momentum readings of stock markets around the world and US Sectors and Sub-Sectors to identify the overall risk appetite for Equities. Today’s update will perform the same exercise and compare the results to determine if breadth has improved, deteriorated, or stayed the same, as well as what the implications of these changes are.
Where I live in Colorado, we received our first snowfall of the season. And it meant business. Today, we woke up to 8 inches of overnight snow and it kept falling all morning. Yesterday, it was nearly 70 degrees and sunny. It’s the time of the year when seasons change quickly around here. Not unlike the markets this week.
My wife and I have both been more mindful of our diet this year, and our four year old son is growing like a beanstalk. And as the season is changing rapidly, we find ourselves scrambling through our closets looking to locate last winter’s clothes, only to find most of them don’t fit any of us. So, comically, we find ourselves a little ill prepared for the new winter.
This all feels very fitting as the markets most definitely and rapidly changed seasons this week. And we were still wearing a lot of last season’s positions. As you can imagine, that left us pretty uncomfortable.
The good news is, with a new outlook, we find ourselves scanning what appears to be a wide open field of very tempting short positions. But with this new season, we’ll have to come to battle with some new tools and strategies. Very few of the strategies that worked most of the year will work in this new season. Of course, we know this because nothing lasts forever in the market.
With this in mind, let’s get to work… [Read more…]
by JC
This is the monthly conference call for Premium Members of All Star Charts. In this call we will discuss the global market environment and how to profit from it. As always, this will include Stocks, Interest Rates, Commodities and Currencies. The video of the call will be archived in the members section to re-watch any time and the PDF of the charts will be made available as well.
This month’s Conference Call will be held on Wednesday October 17th at 7PM ET. Here are the details for the call: [Read more…]
by Tom Bruni
From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting
A major part of the thesis for higher prices in Canada was the breakout in Financials (and REITS) which represent roughly a third of the TSX Composite, however, over the last few weeks we’ve seen failed breakouts in many of these leading stocks.
In this post I’ll highlight some charts identified during my Chartbook update that describe the type of environment we’re in for Canadian stocks and why a more neutral stance appears appropriate. Given the correlation between equity markets around the world, I’d also encourage you to read some of our other free pieces about the US here, here, here, and here.
by Tom Bruni
From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting
After last week’s move to the downside I figured there would be a lot of changes to the IBD 50, and there were, so I want to highlight the characteristics of some names that continue to hold up well.
by JC
Some of you guys have been reading my work for over a decade. But I understand there are many newer readers, so I think it’s important to address what’s going on here. I’ve been called a Permabull many times for over 2 years now, meaning that they believed I just always had a bullish bias towards stocks. The truth is that while so many were eager to pick a top during this entire rally, I was consistently bullish because the weight of the evidence pointed that way. This is no longer the case and our approach has had to adapt over the past week to a new environment.
We’re fortunate to have been accurate with our risk levels. As soon as Small-caps broke 169, things got bad. There was no reason to be in them for us if we were below that in $IWM. Large-caps broke our levels early this week and things got progressively worse after our prices were breached. That is why we set them. That’s the good news. The bad news is that I’m confident this is just the beginning.
I believe we are entering a period of what is, at the very least, a period of consolidation. I think we’re lucky if it’s another 2015. That wasn’t so bad and markets recovered quickly to begin one of the greatest runs in history. I hope you enjoyed it. [Read more…]
