In this episode of The Money Game, Phil and I talk about the Availability Heuristic and why we are more likely to invest in certain types of companies depending on where we live. This is a really interesting phenomenon that makes a lot of sense. I’m lucky that I get to avoid this bias more than others simply because of the process I use to perform my analysis. It’s a solution to a problem I didn’t even know I had! This is a short one that I think is worth a listen just to learn a little bit more about yourself. [Read more…]
If you ask 100 people what Technical Analysis is, you might get 100 different answers. In this video I try to explain what Technical Analysis means to me. There are a lot of misconceptions about what it is and what it isn’t. I hope I can clear some of that up in this short video!
On this Episode of the Podcast Interviews I sit down and chat with Rob Koyfman, the founder of Koyfin. This is my favorite new data and analytics platform and I find myself using these tools every day. What I find interesting and one of the reasons why we’re investors is because they are building tools for both the Technical and the Fundamental community. Rob also points out the huge demand for portfolio analytics tools for Investment Advisors. The demand for these tools is coming from everyone. Him and I are often debating whether price only charts are a better representation of supply and demand than dividend adjusted charts, so we get into that discussion in this episode. Feel free to join the conversation and Tweet us @allstarcharts and @KoyfinCharts and let us know what you think. [Read more…]
We live in a global market environment. There are still people out there who think that stocks in the United States go up or down because of what is happening in the United States. I think in order to properly identify the trend in stocks as an asset class, we have to look all over the world. In this video we do just that!
We’ve all heard about “Dr. Copper’s” ability to gauge global economic growth. What is not discussed as much is that Copper is very highly correlated with Emerging Market stocks, not so much developed markets. With Copper right now setting up for a potentially outsized move, the implications of its direction will likely impact stocks throughout the emerging markets space. [Read more…]
James Brodie started out auditing for Arthur Andersen and did not particularly enjoy it. In the early 1990s he started to learn about derivatives at the largest bank in the world before ultimately moving to Credit Suisse. He’s lived in London, Singapore, New York and Tokyo trading currencies for both the banks and proprietary and then started his own hedge fund. James is also on the Board of the CMT Association. I really enjoyed the advice he gives about what he learned from 2 massive losses he’s taken throughout his career. James is a big fan of behavioral finance and we talk about different studies where we’ve learned that the better traders actually have more losing trades than winning trades. Currently James is watching Gold, EURJPY and US Interest Rates and talks about how he wants to trade them. This was a fun conversation where we covered a lot of things. [Read more…]
I can’t think of a better time to talk about Fibonacci Extensions. The Dow Jones Industrial Average right now is fighting to break through an important cluster of extensions that stem from the last two epic peaks we had in the market: 2000 and 2007. A breakout above 27,000 could spark a new cyclical bull market that we believe falls within the context of an ongoing structural bull market. In other words, this is a more intermediate-term breakout (years) while structurally (decades) we have already been in a bull market since arguably 2013 or even 2016.
In this video I talk about 2 key extensions: 261.8% and 423.6% which is exactly where the Dow stopped going up in early 2018. Was 17 months enough time at these levels before we can move on? Let’s discuss: [Read more…]
One question that I get a lot comes from new investors, “Hey JC, I’m starting to get into the market for the first time, any advice?”
For me, I’m convinced you have to get kicked in the stomach, at least once, but likely even more than that, to finally understand the importance of Risk Management. But if you can somehow figure out a way to just take my word for it, and eliminate your emotionally driven decisions completely, I believe it puts you way ahead of 99% of market participants around the world. [Read more…]