One of the things I do on Saturday mornings is catch up on the earnings stories and reactions I might have missed during the week.
And it’s actually a lot easier for me to do these days…
Over the past year, we’ve built an earnings engine complete with various internal scans and custom indicators.
We like to build the tools we need here at All Star Charts. It’s how we got our start many years ago. And it will always be a big part of our culture and success as a publisher.
So I’m proud to say we finally have everything investors need from an earnings standpoint.
And you can get it for free right now as we’ve launched a demo version of what we call the Beat Report.
We’re tracking all the reports each quarter and identifying the names with the best earnings trends and momentum. We send a note each day detailing all the earnings-based movers and shakers. We break it all down for you and highlight the best stuff we find.
But the way we do it is a bit non-traditional. No one else is doing this analysis in this way.
Stocks keep going up, but investors are more scared than ever.
According to the American Association of Individual Investors, more than half of individuals are bearish equities over the next 6 months. This has been the case now for 10 consecutive weeks.
This has never happened ever in the history of the survey, which dates back to the 1980s. It didn't happen during the great financial crisis, or the dot-com bubble, or even Covid.
But it's happening now. During a bull market.
Stocks are going up, but investors are scared to death.
Did you see the Barron's cover this morning?
Barron's has been polling big money managers for nearly 30 years. According to their latest poll, Money Managers are the most bearish ever:
Meanwhile, stocks keep going up.
The Technology Index was actually positive for the month of April, contrary to popular belief.
Tech was even the biggest winner!
Look at the S&P500 Technology Index bouncing off support, from former resistance at the prior cycle highs:
And overseas, the strength keeps coming.
The German DAX just closed the week at its highest levels in history.
After a decade of going nowhere, livestock futures are showing signs of life.
While other commodities have recently stolen the spotlight, the livestock space has quietly been forming some of the most powerful bases in the commodities market.
Now we’re seeing breakouts across the board - from Live Cattle to Feeder Cattle, and potentially Lean Hogs next.
Let’s walk through the setup...
Our ASC Livestock Index has broken out above a major shelf of resistance 📈
This equal-weight basket of Live Cattle, Feeder Cattle, and Lean Hogs spent over a decade carving out a massive base, testing the 2014 highs multiple times before finally clearing the level.
That’s the principle of polarity in action: what was once resistance is now support.
With bulls back in control, we’re targeting the 161.8% Fibonacci extension near 221. That's almost 25% more upside from the current price!
It’s time to stop fading strength and start riding the uptrend in livestock.
Is it time for Lean Hogs to catch up? 🐷
Lean Hogs futures are lagging, but maybe not for long.
Prices are pushing against a major downtrend line...
Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.
These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.
It has all the big names and more.
It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. Click here to check it out.
The Hall of Famers is simple.
We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.
Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.
Here’s this week’s list:
*Click table to enlarge view
We filter out any laggards that are down -5% or more relative to the S&P 500 over the trailing month.
We love our bottoms-up scans here at All Star Charts. We tend to get really creative when making new universes as we want to be sure they will deliver us the best opportunities the market has to offer.
However, when it comes to this one, it couldn't be any simpler!
With the goal of finding more bullish setups, we have decided to expand one of our favorite scans and broaden our regular coverage of the largest US stocks.
Welcome to TheJunior Hall of Famers.
This scan is composed of the next 150 largest stocks by market cap, those that come after the top 150 and are thus covered by the Hall of Famers universe. Many of these names will someday graduate and join our original Hall Of Famers list. The idea here is to catch these big trends as early on as possible.
There is no need to overcomplicate things. Market cap is a quality filter at the end of the day. It only grows if price is rising. That's good enough for us.
April will go down as one of the most volatile months in stock market history.
At the lows a few weeks ago, the S&P 500 was in a 20% drawdown. Fast forward to today, and after finding support at the prior cycle highs, the index has already rallied 17% off the bottom.
They call it a fast market. There's no doubt about that.
But more importantly, it's starting to feel like a bull market again.
The major averages reclaimed their VWAPs from the all-time highs earlier this week, and now we're seeing bullish follow-through.
As long as these moves stick, it's looking more and more like a V-shaped recovery out here. And that means it's time to get more aggressive.
Well, here we are. Both $SPY and $QQQ are stuck in a weird place -- above their 50-day moving averages, and below their 200-day moving averages.
What now?
My gut tells me some sloppy digestion will be the rule of the day for the next several weeks. Of course, I reserve the right to change my mind pending whatever Amazon says tonight when they announce earnings.
We did a quick Options Jam Session today due to technical difficulties rendering a late start. But this means I get to the point quickly about what I'm seeing and what I'm trading.
Check it out here:
Sean McLaughlin | Chief Options Strategist, All Star Charts