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At least, that's what the chart of Alcoa $AA suggests...

And who am I to argue?

Today, the stock is breaking out to a fresh multi-year high and it feels like the right time to get involved for a potential run towards the all-timers.

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Energy strength continues to broaden, and we’re seeing it show up in smaller names.

Our setup is Southern Gas Transport Co. ($TGS). After a strong rally off the 2021 lows, the stock has spent the past year building a textbook...

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Energy continues to lead, and we’re leaning into it.

Our setup is YPF ($YPF), an Argentine integrated oil & gas name pressing against the upper end of a massive multi-year base. The stock is flirting with a breakout to...

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From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

As many of you know, something we've been working on internally is using various bottom-up...

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Two double beats… but only one buyer showed up. The charts told you exactly how it would play out.

Stocks rallied into quarter-end yesterday, putting a strong finish on a weak Q1. 

But underneath the surface, earnings reactions continue to separate the winners from the losers… and more importantly, the bottoms from the breakdowns.

...

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$MKC
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The best part of month-end is a fresh batch of monthly charts.

We only run this review once the candlesticks are complete — and nothing in my process is more valuable.

This process forces us to take a step...

Alfonso's Daily Note
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Drilling, Building, and Healing

This note highlights a select group of stocks showing the most unusual — and highly directional — options activity.

The goal is simple: follow the big money and trade in the direction of the underlying...

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Steve Strazza
All of the Magnificent 7 stocks underperformed the S&P 500 in Q1.

There were no S&P 500 earnings reactions on Monday, but we want to talk about the Magnificent 7. 

As we’re closing the books on Q1, the message from Mr. Market is clear…

Leadership isn't where it used to be.

Looking at the...

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From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Ricardo Sarraf @nullcharts

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as "a market of stocks."

Regardless of the environment, there...

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Puts on fintech and banks, calls on EVs

This note highlights a select group of stocks showing the most unusual — and highly directional — options activity.

The goal is simple: follow the big money and trade in the direction of the underlying...

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Follow The Flow
Steve Strazza
Fresh off our first Supercycle member session, we put on 2 new trades in these Argentina-based energy stocks.

We just wrapped up our first-ever Supercycle Report member session, and if there was one clear takeaway, it’s this: leadership is expanding in energy.

This is no longer just a story about a handful of winners. The bench is getting deeper, and...

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From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to Under the Hood, where we'll cover all the...

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Software can't catch a bid. The big scary AI is eating its lunch, supposedly.

Whether or not that remains to be true in the future, we cannot deny the price action.

Today's trade is leaning on further downside in a software name that has...

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Carnival delivered… but the market had other plans

Friday wasn’t just another down day… it was a resolution. 

The S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq 100 resolved massive tops.

Across the board, risk assets are under pressure.

And when the tape looks like that...

Daily Beat
$CCL
apology

I'm going to ruffle some feathers with this post. So be it.

However, before I do that, let me apologize.

You deserve better.

For the past year or so, I've published a bunch of trading, educational, and mindset content. Much of it, I'...

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Earnings season is fading, but the real story is just getting started.

Editor's note: With energy surging higher, so are the odds of a rate hike by December. The odds currently sit at around 45%. 

Do you think we'll see a rate hike this year? Please write back to...

Daily Beat
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The payroll giant that's starting to crack

Every weekend I dig through the names that experienced the most interesting unusual options activity. 

We’re looking for trades that stood out, whether it was large in size or a very aggressive strike selection.

...
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