Click here to sign up for our free “Chart of the Week”

All Star Charts

Expert technical analysis of financial markets by JC Parets

Goodbye Inverted Yield Curve

by

Ever since the 2-year yield bottomed in Q1 of 2021 Technology stocks have struggled. Growth became the worst place to be.

It was NOT a coincidence that once those rates started to rise in early 2021, the Nasdaq New Highs list peaked, the Nasdaq Advance-Decline line peaked, all the ARK Funds peaked, Chinese internet peaked, Biotech peaked and everyone piled had into SPACs before they all came crashing down.

Because the 2-year yield was rising so fast, and the longer end of the curve couldn’t keep up, we got the mother of all yield curve inversions.

The media loves to scare people with it because I think an inverted yield curve has predicted something like 50 of the last 8 recessions.

But now it’s bon voyage yield curve inversion. Good riddance!

We’re seeing the largest 5-day rate of change in the yield curve since the early 1980s: [Read more…]

March Strategy Session: 3 Key Takeaways

by

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

We held our March Monthly Strategy Session on Monday night. Premium Members can access and rewatch it here.

Non-members can get a quick recap of the call simply by reading this post each month.

By focusing on long-term, monthly charts, the idea is to take a step back and put things into the context of their structural trends. This is easily one of our most valuable exercises as it forces us to put aside the day-to-day noise and simply examine markets from a “big-picture” point of view.

With that as our backdrop, let’s dive right in and discuss three of the most important charts and/or themes from this month’s call.

[Read more…]

Still The Only Catalyst

by

She was always the one.

All along it was the US dollar that was the best indicator.

Old reliable.

So why should we abandon it now?

Look at the US Dollar Index overlaid with the short ETF for the S&P500.

In other words, when the blue line goes up, that means stock market shorts are making money (along with rising dollars). But when the blue line falls, that means the shorts are losing and people who own stocks are the ones making money (with dollars falling): [Read more…]

Recent Posts

Tag Cloud

$AAPL $CL_F $DIA $DX_F $EEM $FXE $GC_F $GLD $IWM $ng_f $QQQ $si_F $SLV $SPX $SPY $TLT $tran $UUP $XLB $XLE $XLF $XLI $XLP $XLU $XLV $XLY djia es_f eurusd ewz fxi fxy gdx HG_f iyt kre mdy rut tnx ung usdjpy uso xlk zb_f zn_f
Real Time Analytics