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All Star Charts

Expert technical analysis of financial markets by JC Parets

November Mid-Month Conference Call: 5 Key Takeaways

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From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Monday night we held our November Monthly Conference Call, which Premium Members can access and rewatch here.

In this post, we’ll do our best to summarize it by highlighting five of the most important charts and/or themes we covered, along with commentary on each

Let’s get right into it!

[Read more…]

[Premium] Mid-Month Conference Call Video Recording November 2022

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This is the video recording of the November 2022 Mid-month Conference Call.

We discussed:

  • The most Bullish Time of the Year
  • The most Bullish Time of the 4-year Presidential Cycle
  • US Dollar vs Stocks Negative Correlation Continues
  • Mexican Peso & VIX Relationship
  • Euro & British Pound at Key Resistance Levels
  • Stocks rallying with stronger GBP
  • Fewer stocks making new lows, but waiting for expansion in new highs
  • Sentiment for risk assets remains pessimistic
  • What Year 3 in Bull Markets Looks Like
  • Risk Management Charts: NYSE Comp & Value Line Index
  • Relative Strength in SMIDs
  • Energy – Still Waiting For A Breakout
  • List of Strongest Energy Stocks to Buy
  • What the end of the Energy run looks like – Crude Oil Key Levels
  • Healthcare Stocks Continue to Lead – Which Ones to Own Now
  • Insurance Stocks Lead Financials Higher – List of Buys
  • Broker Dealers showing Relative Strength
  • Most Important Chart on Earth: XLF & ITB
  • CAT & DE are not defensive trades
  • Real Yields Falling Could Spark Gold Rally
  • Gold & Silver Stocks Setting Up Buys
  • Global Equities: Rotation into Emerging Markets
  • Tech Stocks To Buy Today
  • Discretionary Stocks Breaking Out
  • Package Food Companies Making New Highs
  • Bitcoin – What’s It Going To Take for New Bull

[Read more…]

Relative Strength in Growth Stocks

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Note: Our Live Mid-month Conference call is this coming Monday Nov 21st @ 6PM ET. Premium Members can register here.

For quite some time we’ve treated Bitcoin and many Altcoins as just more stocks to choose from.

More specifically, we can argue they might be software stocks, or Tech stock of some kind.

At the very least, we’ve agreed that they’re in the growth category and part of that long-duration trade.

And the correlations have been there to justify it.

So the divergence we’ve seen lately really stands out.

Regardless of market capitalization, you can see the growth stocks holding on to their June lows, but Bitcoin and many Altcoins have not.

They’ve gone on to make lower lows:

[Read more…]

Sentiment as a Money Management Tool

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This week we came right out of the gates with the Chart of the Decade.

The catalyst for stocks to have a sustained rally is a weaker US Dollar.

The market keeps proving that to be right.

And yes, I am aware that in the 1990s, a weaker Dollar was not the bullish catalyst for stocks.

But are you aware that this is not the 1990s?

It’s 2022 and the correlation has been consistently negative between stocks and Dollars.

Until that changes, we’re not going to fight it.

And while this week’s chart was comparing the US Dollar to Emerging Market Currencies, in this post I want to focus on the more developed countries.

The Euro, British Pound and Yen represent 83% of the entire US Dollar Index.

The Euro and British Pounds both bottomed in late September, while the Yen put in its low last month. [Read more…]

Chart of the Decade: “THE Catalyst”

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If you’re still asking what it will take to spark a sustained rally in equities, it’s only because you’re not paying attention.

How is it not the US Dollar?

Find me a stronger negative correlation with equities over the past half decade or so.

Todays chart focuses more specifically on the performance of US Dollars relative to Emerging Market Currencies.

Notice how whenever the Dollar goes down, stocks absolutely love it: [Read more…]

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