From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting
In this post we’re talking about Orange Juice, which may not quench your thirst so stick around to the end for another great bonus chart.
Let’s get into it.
Expert technical analysis of financial markets by JC Parets
by Tom Bruni
From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting
In this post we’re talking about Orange Juice, which may not quench your thirst so stick around to the end for another great bonus chart.
Let’s get into it.
by JC
I can’t believe I’m publishing the 100th Episode of this podcast that I started in the summer of 2017. My first guest ever was Ralph Acampora! I mean, how could it not be right? Since then I’ve had the privilege of interviewing Portfolio Managers, Traders, Analysts, Best Selling Authors and even a World Series of Poker Champion! People all over the world have approached me how much they’ve learned from listening to the podcasts. It’s been an amazing experience for me all around.
Since it’s Episode 100, how can I not invite Ralph back on the show to talk markets? In this episode Ralph describes the recent trip that him and I took to India. We both had an awesome time and are blown away by the interest out there for Technical Analysis. It really is incredible. He thinks we’re going to see breakouts in Gold and Silver soon but that’s not necessarily bad for stocks. Both can rise together.
I always enjoy my conversations with Ralph. He has great old stories about technicians that we’re too young to remember or even know about. He’s good with giving credit to some of his predecessors that probably don’t get the recognition these days that they deserve. Louise Yamada for example gets a lot of credit for the phrase, “The bigger the base, the higher in space”. But she’ll tell you that she got that from her boss and mentor Alan Shaw. And Alan will tell you that he learned it from his boss.
So I think it’s important to remember the ones who came before us. I would argue that over 95% of what you see me do, say and talk about comes from something I learned from my colleagues and/or predecessors. I didn’t make any of this stuff up. The credit goes to all of them and in most cases they have all been guests on this podcast. I want the world to be able to learn from the people that I learned from and continue to learn from every day. Ralph is a great example, obviously!
Here is the episode in full: [Read more…]
by Tom Bruni
From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting
In late August we started to see some signs of a potential bottom forming in Commodities as they approached long-term support with momentum diverging and in October we finally got a breakout.
Today that breakout in the Thomson Reuters CRB Commodity Continuous Index remains intact and the trend in Commodities as an asset class has shifted from one we want to be selling rips to one that we’re buying dips.
From an intermarket perspective, there are a lot of signals we’ve discussed that support higher Commodity prices such as the AUD/USD and CAD/USD breakouts, and today I want to share three more data points that have shown up in the last few weeks.
by JC
You guys know that I just tell it like it is. I don’t care what happens. The stock market can double or can get cut in half. Gold can go to zero tomorrow or to 10,000/oz and I won’t care. I’m too old to worry about the economic or social implications of market moves. Been there, done that and it doesn’t help. We have to look at everything as objectively as possible.
Now, with that said, I have some thoughts that some of you may not appreciate. But I’m not here to tell you what you want to hear. I’m here to tell you what I’m seeing right? So bear with me.
For those of you who have been around here a while, you remember just how bearish I was towards the US Dollar coming into 2019. The Dollar rolling over was a big catalyst for why we were so bullish of precious metals throughout the first 3 quarters of 2019. It wasn’t until September last year that we said, ok it’s time to get out.
That’s just a quick little history of our thought process, to give some of you newcomers perspective on just how open minded we are over here. Looking back, as well as precious metals did, the Dollar never rolled over. We got the gold trade right, but got the Dollar wrong. The US Dollar Index did not fall, but it didn’t rise either. It just sat there.
So now what? [Read more…]
by Tom Bruni
From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting
Thank you to everyone who responded to this week’s mystery chart.
Most people were sellers of this one, while some were staying away fearing a whipsaw.
With that as our backdrop, let’s take a look at this dumpster fire. [Read more…]
by Tom Bruni
Typically when looking for trades we’re searching weeks and months out, but occasionally the reward/risk in a setup justifies trading the shorter-term timeframe.
Today, that trade is Natural Gas.
[Read more…]
by JC
This week on the podcast I’m thrilled to have Quint Tatro join me as our guest. I’ve been following his work for a long time and have always appreciated his technical approach to managing portfolios at his advisory firm Joule Financial. This was a great conversation where Quint walks us through how he got to Technical Analysis in the first place and how he applies those methods on a daily basis. We went over the overall stock market and how he wants to overweight International Stocks and Emerging markets heading into 2020. He also likes Gold bigger picture here and the mining stocks that come a long with it. I really enjoyed this one. Give it a listen!
[Read more…]
by Tom Bruni
As we head into 2020, we start from scratch with our Q4 playbook and outline our thoughts on every asset class and our plan to profit in the quarter (and year) ahead.
Part 1 of this playbook will cover our macro view, touching on Equities, Commodities, Currencies, and Rates.
Part 2 of this playbook will delve deeper into Indian Equities, going sector by sector to identify the trends that matter.
Part 3 of this playbook will outline the individual stocks we want to be buying and selling within the context of today’s environment.