Today I have a group of charts that I think will help me explain my thought process here. We’re keeping this very simple.
Let’s go! [Read more…]
Expert technical analysis of financial markets by JC Parets
by JC
Today I have a group of charts that I think will help me explain my thought process here. We’re keeping this very simple.
Let’s go! [Read more…]
by Tom Bruni
Two weeks ago we outlined our thesis for near-term weakness in stocks in India and around the globe.
Since then we’ve outlined additional information that seems to support the thesis that the next few weeks, and potentially months, are to be a choppy environment. (Feb 1, Jan 27, Jan 26, and Jan 25).
After some downside follow-through, many are asking: How low can we go?
by JC
In this Episode of Allstarcharts Weekly, Steve and I discuss all the reasons why we’re buying bonds right now instead of stocks and commodities. The big point here for me is that it’s not just one chart. There is no single holy grail suggesting we buy bonds. This is a weight of the evidence conclusion. It’s not one chart, it’s hundreds of them all pointing to the exact same thing: Sell stocks and Buy bonds!
[Read more…]
by Tom Bruni
From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting
This week I saw two different charts floating around that I thought deserved a second look based on how they were presented and what their ultimate conclusion was.
The first has to deal with the underperformance of the Equal-Weighted S&P 500 Index, while the second looks at High Dividend Factor ETFs that have gone off the beaten path.
[Read more…]
by JC
For a variety of different factors, we’ve wanted to tactically be selling stocks all week and buying bonds instead, particularly US Treasury and Municipal Bonds. The weight of the evidence has been pointing to a more defensive rotation and out of risk assets. We listen to the market and act accordingly. Anything else would be irresponsible.
To be clear, longer-term uptrends in stocks and indexes globally are still intact, so far. Our goals, however, are to make money this quarter. We’ll worry about next year, next year. We’ll worry about the 3rd and 4th quarters when we get there this summer. For now, as we finished up January we’re now entering what is historically the worst of the “Best 6 Months of the year”, which go from November through April. So stocks going down in February would be perfectly in line with seasonal trends.
With that said, the biggest and most important index, arguably, in the United States, and maybe even the world, just achieved its upside objective. Keep in mind that Technology also represents about a quarter of the entire S&P500 Index: [Read more…]
by Tom Bruni
From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting
Thank you to everyone who responded to this week’s mystery chart, I expected it to be a good one and it was.
Most respondents were aggressively selling this one, while others wanted to see a more decisive move before making a decision.
With that as our backdrop, let’s take a look at this week’s chart. [Read more…]
by JC
I can’t believe I’m publishing the 100th Episode of this podcast that I started in the summer of 2017. My first guest ever was Ralph Acampora! I mean, how could it not be right? Since then I’ve had the privilege of interviewing Portfolio Managers, Traders, Analysts, Best Selling Authors and even a World Series of Poker Champion! People all over the world have approached me how much they’ve learned from listening to the podcasts. It’s been an amazing experience for me all around.
Since it’s Episode 100, how can I not invite Ralph back on the show to talk markets? In this episode Ralph describes the recent trip that him and I took to India. We both had an awesome time and are blown away by the interest out there for Technical Analysis. It really is incredible. He thinks we’re going to see breakouts in Gold and Silver soon but that’s not necessarily bad for stocks. Both can rise together.
I always enjoy my conversations with Ralph. He has great old stories about technicians that we’re too young to remember or even know about. He’s good with giving credit to some of his predecessors that probably don’t get the recognition these days that they deserve. Louise Yamada for example gets a lot of credit for the phrase, “The bigger the base, the higher in space”. But she’ll tell you that she got that from her boss and mentor Alan Shaw. And Alan will tell you that he learned it from his boss.
So I think it’s important to remember the ones who came before us. I would argue that over 95% of what you see me do, say and talk about comes from something I learned from my colleagues and/or predecessors. I didn’t make any of this stuff up. The credit goes to all of them and in most cases they have all been guests on this podcast. I want the world to be able to learn from the people that I learned from and continue to learn from every day. Ralph is a great example, obviously!
Here is the episode in full: [Read more…]
by Tom Bruni
This post is a quick update on a name in the Consumer Goods’ space that we’ve been watching for a breakout, as well as two other names worth putting on your radar.