This is the video recording of our October 4, 2021 Monthly Charts Live Strategy Session
Dollars & Rates: All Eyez On Me
To quote the great philosopher Tupac Shakur, “All Eyez On Me”.
Makaveli – The Don would agree, if he were here, that the focus needs to be on the US Dollar and Interest Rates.
The implications will most likely impact every single asset class you’ve ever heard of.
Here’s the recent US Dollar strength as it runs into former resistance and key Fibonacci retracement: [Read more…]
[Video] What Are We Doing In This Market Environment?
Last Friday I had a nice little chat with the boys over at Benzinga.
It’s funny because I’ve been doing this pretty regularly with these guys for almost a decade, which is kind of unbelievable to think about.
Shout out to Joel, Dennis and Spencer. Keep up the good work fellas!
During our chat we talked about relative strength and which individual stocks stand out in the current environment.
Check it out:
RPP Report: Review. Preview. Profit. (09-16-2021)
From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza
Welcome to our latest RPP Report, where we publish return tables for various asset classes and categories, along with commentary on each.
Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the absolute and relative trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching to profit in the weeks and months ahead.
We consider this our weekly state of the union address, as we break down and reiterate both our tactical and structural outlook on various asset classes and discuss the most important themes and developments currently playing out in markets all around the world.
In our RPP Report from the end of August, we discussed how the weakest areas were registering failed breakdowns and digging in at support.
In our most recent report, we focused on how the strongest areas were making fresh record highs. Things were looking up for the bulls… but that changed once again.
We’ve talked about how it’s been a back and forth battle with neither buyers nor sellers making any material progress for months now. And that’s exactly what we’re continuing to see, as bears have regained control again, pushing the major indexes lower for five straight sessions coming into this week.
For this reason, we thought a mid-week edition of the RPP would be appropriate to give us time to see what kind of follow-through would occur following the recent selloff.
In this week’s report, we’re going to talk about this near-term weakness but also some positive developments, like the healthy expansion in participation for ex-US equities in recent weeks and months.
I’m working with a broken hand these days, so we’re also going to try and let the charts do most of the talking. Don’t worry, there are plenty out there that have something to say. Let’s look at some now.
Bulls Take Lead Late In The 3rd
As the third quarter winds to a close, the bulls just took the lead for the first time since early in the 1st half.
Everything is clicking for them and they’re in control of the game right now. While it’s been a nice comeback, it’s still just 52 to 48, so they have plenty of work to do.
I’m not talking about basketball. Not the Chicago bulls. I’m referring to stock market bulls and the current score on our risk checklist.
It’s currently at its highest reading since we started publishing it back in June, so we’d be remiss not to write about it.
It’s been a great roadmap for us in recent months so let’s have a quick look at what it’s saying now as well as some of the more recent developments that have taken place.
RPP Report: Review. Preview. Profit. (Monthly Chart Edition)
From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza and Louis Sykes @haumicharts
Welcome to our latest RPP Report, where we publish return tables for various asset classes and categories, along with commentary on each.
Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the absolute and relative trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching to profit in the weeks and months ahead.
We consider this our weekly state of the union address as we break down and reiterate both our tactical and structural outlook on various asset classes and discuss the most important themes and developments currently playing out in markets all around the world.
In our last report, we discussed all the whipsaws we had been witnessing in recent weeks and noted that the next major piece of information would be the velocity of the reactions these charts made in the opposite direction.
Fast forward to today and the bulls got all the follow-through they could want as many risk assets reclaimed all their damage and more. These were true failed breakdowns, and we’re still seeing those fast moves carry on higher today.
But today is a special occasion. We just got new monthly candles. So that’s going to be the focus in this week’s report.
Long story short, we have a lot of failed breakdowns bouncing aggressively off support in the weakest areas. More on that to come in a post soon. At the same time, we have a ton of new highs from the strongest areas.
Let’s talk about some of them now. [Read more…]
[Podcast] Momentum, Breadth & Seasonality w/ Ed Clissold, Chief U.S. Strategist at Ned David Research
On this episode of the podcast, I sit down with Ed Clissold, Chief U.S. Strategist at Ned Davis Research.
I’ve been a big fan of Ed’s work for a long time, not to mention Ned Davis is one of my personal heroes.
The work they do over there has been inspiring to me throughout my entire career. So as you can imagine, it was so fun and such a pleasure to chat with Ed.
We talk about Market Breadth, Sector Trends, Momentum and Seasonality.
If you have any exposure whatsoever in the market, or even thinking about putting on exposure, then this is the episode for you!
Enjoy!
RPP Report: Review. Preview. Profit. (08-24-2021)
From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza
Welcome to our latest RPP Report, where we publish return tables for various asset classes and categories, along with commentary on each.
Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the absolute and relative trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching to profit in the weeks and months ahead.
We consider this our weekly state of the union address as we break down and reiterate both our tactical and structural outlook on various asset classes and discuss the most important themes and developments currently playing out in markets all around the world.
In our last report, we pounded the table on our position that markets are a total mess these days. Another theme we hit on was how many significant risk assets were trading at or below critical levels of overhead supply.
In the time since, we saw bears try to take control of things once again, and as of Friday’s close, it looked like they were finally doing so. But that changed fast as a lot of last week’s “breakdowns” have failed and reversed higher this week. That’s what we’re going to focus on in today’s report.
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