This is the video recording of our April 1, 2021 Monthly Charts Live Strategy Session
Checking In On GDX
From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley
I think we can all agree that the market is an absolute hot mess right now.
The Precious Metals complex is as good an example of this as any right now.
In this post, we’ll use this shiny group of commodities as a case study to illustrate the mixed signals we see not just here but in asset classes all over the globe these days.
It’s a major development, to say the least – so we’d be irresponsible not to monitor it closely as the way things resolve from here will likely have implications that span across markets, far and wide.
We’ll also provide an update of our post from earlier in the month whereby we outlined a trade idea in Gold Miners.
[Options Premium] Think Globally, Bank Locally
Anybody else tired of the big banks? Their lack of personal attention, the formulaic approach to lending, the fees, etc?
I stopped banking with “big banks” a long time ago, now doing my personal and business banking with a local bank in my community.
So it’s nice to see the team talking about bullish developments and trade ideas in the Regional banking space in the latest RPP Report.
RPP Report: Review. Preview. Profit. (03-29-2021)
From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza
At the beginning of each week, we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.
Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the absolute and relative trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching to profit in the weeks and months ahead.
While the same themes we’ve laid out in previous reports continue to hold strong, we have seen some recent deterioration, particularly in the large-cap sectors and indexes.
Despite an increase in bearish developments, the overall weight of the evidence is still firmly in the bull camp, and we remain aggressive buyers of stocks and risk assets, particularly over any longer-term timeframe.
It is also very important to consider the recent volatility within the context of the primary trend… which is still unequivocally higher in EVERY major US Index.
Over the upcoming weeks, our view is that many of the recent leaders are likely to consolidate at logical resistance levels. So expect some chop. Be ready for whipsaws, and plan your trades accordingly to avoid being shaken out. Position size accordingly and exercise caution.
BUT! Most importantly, be prepared and watch the market closely as this could turn into something more serious, in which case we want to be sure to respect our risk levels and get out if and when they are violated. We put a lot of thought into making sure we always know when and where we are wrong and providing these levels to clients.
[Premium] Details For April’s Monthly Strategy Session
These are the registration details for our Live Monthly Candlestick Strategy Session for Premium Members of All Star Charts.
This month’s Video Conference Call will be held on Thursday April 1st @ 6PM ET. As always, if you cannot make the call live, the video and slides will be archived and published here along with every other live call since 2015.
Here are the details for Thursday evening: [Read more…]
[PLUS] Weekly Sentiment Report
From the desk of Willie Delwiche.
Key takeaway: The evidence continues to suggest we have recently undergone a healthy unwind in excessive optimism. Investment manager’s equity exposure has dramatically pulled back from extreme readings but remains above levels that signals a shift toward risk aversion risk that can weigh on price. Combining that with budding optimism among individual investors and a supportive, neutral backdrop in sentiment arises. Though global markets lack strength from a tactical perspective, the message remains digestion over deterioration given recent breadth thrusts and that the majority of international markets are in uptrends. For now, the reset in sentiment provides upside potential for both optimism and price.
Sentiment Chart of the Week: Risk Appetite Remains Healthy
The recent unwind in optimism has been met with sustained risk appetite levels. Both High Yield Bonds and Copper hold above key levels relative to their safer alternatives, suggesting a market environment characterized by digestion, not deterioration.
[Podcast] Technical Analysis Meets Behavioral Finance
One of my favorite things to talk about is Behavioral Finance and Investor Psychology. The whole thing is incredibly fascinating to me. That’s why I was super stoked when Dr. Daniel Crosby invited me on his Standard Deviations Podcast.
Usually I’m the one asking him the questions, but this time he flipped the script. This was a lot of fun! [Read more…]
Hot Mess, a definition
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