Hey guys I’m coming to Cleveland on Thursday October 24th. I will be a guest speaker at the Northern Ohio Chapter of the CMT Association. It should be a lot of fun. I hope you can make it!
Three Charts That Tell The Risk Story
Stocks are still trying to break out of this massive range since early 2018. After some selling early this week, the range is still intact. I think this chart of the Global 100 Index tells the story best: [Read more…]
[Options Premium] October 2019 Conference Call Video Recording
This is the video recording of the October 2019 Conference Call for Members of All Star Options [Read more…]
How To Make Money In The Stock Market
This is a question I get a lot from friends and family or someone I just met that knows what I do for work.
What’s funny is that they don’t ask it quite like that. They won’t ask, “JC how do I make money in the market?”, even though that’s what they really mean to say. It’s usually more like, “Which pot stock do I buy?” or “Which Crypto Currency should I buy?”, depending on where we are in the cycle. It’s rarely an IF, and more of a Which One?
The way I see it, you can add the same amount of money every month for decades and just let it compound. If you’re disciplined enough to do it (most of you aren’t), I can see a good case for that strategy. But if you’re looking to get into more specific trades or investments, I think a well-defined risk vs reward strategy is the only way to profit. If you can’t manage risk responsibly you’ll be gone soon.
Here’s my take: [Read more…]
Is Europe About To Crush The Bears??
Nothing will frustrate stock market bears more than European Stocks breaking out to new all-time highs!
Do you know anyone who has anything positive to say about European Equities? Are conversations you’re having and articles you’re reading preaching strength and growth out of this area? I don’t.
Prices, however, are telling a different story! Let me point you to the WisdomTree Europe Hedged Equity Fund, which prices European stocks in local currency. This is similar to the $DXJ vs $EWJ Funds in Japan.
The way I see it, this looks like a consolidation within an ongoing uptrend and most likely the beginning of a NEW uptrend, and not near the end of an old one: [Read more…]
[Chart of the Week] Financials Breaking Out Relative To S&Ps
Stocks in the U.S. Financials Sector have been underperforming since the beginning of 2018. If you recall, that is precisely when the majority of stocks around the world stopped going up. It’s been a sideways grind for many stocks and sectors since then and a solid downtrend for many more, like small-caps, emerging markets and certainly financials, particularly on a relative basis.
A funny thing happened last week, however, while the gossip columns were filled with impeachment talk and upcoming recessions: Financials broke out to new multi-month highs relative to the S&P500. But not a whisper about it anywhere. I like that! [Read more…]
All Star Interviews Season 3, Episode 10: Willie Delwiche, Investment Strategist at Robert W. Baird
I’ve been following the work Willie Delwiche for years. As both a CFA and CMT Charterholder, I think it helps him really put things in perspective for the Advisors he works with at RW Baird. I really enjoyed the conversation we had about the markets and his process. Willie incorporates a number of breadth and sentiment measures that I’ve always been a fan of. He helps the Investment Advisors at the firm work with their clients and manages several portfolios as well. In this podcast episode we discuss a number of different things from Interest Rates to Gardening. It was fun to get to know Willie a bit more! [Read more…]
Video: Making The Bear Case For US Stocks
In this Episode of Allstarcharts Weekly, Steve and I make the bear case for US Stocks. I think we’ve been pretty clear about the fact that we believe stocks resolve this consolidation since 2018 higher, not lower. But I always think it’s important to take the other side and consider the alternative. What will the market environment most likely look like if we’re wrong, and we should be selling stocks rather than buying them. I think we brought up some good points here. [Read more…]
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