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All Star Charts

Expert technical analysis of financial markets by JC Parets

[Options] Fading Index Volatility

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With volatility rising this week, I’ve been on the hunt for opportunities to “safely” sell some premium.

While there is no such thing as a sure bet in the markets, selling elevated premium in rangebound securities is one of the closest things we will find to that idea.

I was chatting with my partner Steve Strazza this morning and when I told him what I was looking for, he immediately responded: “Oh — you want $IWM. That is the very definition of sideways action.”

Sure enough, he’s right. And upon closer inspection of the options chains, there is some good premium offered for sale if we’re willing to go a little further out in time.

[Read more…]

[Options Premium] Changing Plans

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The game plan in the markets over the past several quarters has been to buy the dip whenever the S&P 500 approached its 50-day moving average of prices.

So naturally, I spent the weekend thinking about some long trades that I wanted to put on today — thinking the same old game plan was likely to continue.

Then I woke up to S&P Futures showing the largest gap down opening we’ve seen in a while and $SPY indicated to open significantly below its 50-day moving average for the first time in seemingly forever.

In other words, the market was telling me to rethink my bullish ideas. [Read more…]

[Options Premium] AI Support for Semis

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Another 20 year base breakout? This is the second one we’re putting a trade on in this week! Maybe the market is trying to tell us something?

I have to be honest, when I first pulled this ticker up, I thought it was a Men’s suits maker. But when I learned it’s involved in the intersection of Artificial Intelligence and Semiconductors, the sex-factor went up for me.

Let’s get right to it… [Read more…]

[Options] Going After a 20-Bagger

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This is not something we do often — usually because these types of opportunities don’t present themselves frequently. But we’ve identified an under-appreciated potential for a 20x gain on our invested capital if the markets cooperate.

Its the perfect storm of a megacap stock emerging from an long base, options flow showing people are starting to position for “something” and an ASC price target that doesn’t appear to be priced in by the crowd.

Of course, part of the reason for the elevated options activity is due to an “Investor Day” event happening today, but the action still has been raising some attention. [Read more…]

[Options Premium] Looking For Some Premium to Sell

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As is often the case, the Labor Day Weekend has come and gone and some volatility has been reintroduced to the marketplace. And I say: “Welcome back!” with outstreched arms. Volatility = opportunity. Let’s get after it.

With the rising volatility, we’re seeing premiums start to pump up in options land. When this is the case, I always start hunting for some delta-neutral credit spread opportunities.

Today’s hunt has yielded an excellent candidate with clearly defined levels for us to lean against.  [Read more…]

[Options Premium] Exchange Value

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The big indexes offered us a little pullback this week which has been helping us identify the true standouts — the stocks that are holding up best in a down tape. We’re all about relative strength at All Star Charts as it is one of the most reliable indicators for us. And true leaders really identify themselves when they are swimming against the current while markets are sliding.

So on days and weeks like this, we’re paying very close attention to the strongest sectors and keying in on the strongest stocks to see how they react.

Today, one those names is in the Capital Markets space where we’re seen tremendous strength this year.

[Read more…]

[Options] Getting Long a Leading Stock in a Leading Sector

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…That’s how we’re supposed to do it, right?

JC & Strazza were riffing this morning on the strength in the Medical Equipment space and so we started brainstorming on some names to play since we expect the strength to continue.

There were a few names bandied about, but the chart and setup that most caught my attention was Boston Scientific Corp $BSX.

What I liked most was the recent consolidation which can act as a solid base of support for a move higher — which would be all-time highs breaking out of a nearly 20 year base! As JC likes to say: “The bigger the base, the higher in space!” Seems this opportunity has a good shot at that: [Read more…]

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