Ari Wald is always one of my favorite Technical Analysts. Him and I were trained around the same time so we look at the market in a very similar way. Today Ari is the Head of Technical Analysis at Oppenheimer in New York and we’re very lucky to have him on the podcast. If you’re interested in learning more about Ari, go back and listen to his guest appearance in Season 1 (EP 2). In this episode, Ari and I discuss the current state of the US Stock Market. Included in the analysis are breadth measurements, important levels, smoothing mechanisms and sector rotation. Him and I can talk forever about this stuff so the time felt like it flew by. We covered a ton of material in a very short period of time. I hope you enjoy this one as much as I did! [Read more…]
[Premium] Update On Important Levels & Momentum
We’re below former resistance levels in all of the major US Indexes. While structurally, longer-term uptrends are still intact, there is short-term risk of price volatility and/or opportunity cost. This is where establishing your time horizon is important. We laid out important levels from an intermediate-term horizon earlier this week. I think we’re in for more of a sideways mess than anything else for now.
Historic breakouts are rarely clean. Go back and look at the early 80s. If we are to resolve this 18-month range in US Indexes higher, with European Stocks also breaking out, I’d argue it’s a historic market event. If that happens, a bumpy start would not be anything we haven’t seen before at other important points in the past.
With that in mind, let’s take today to focus on where we stand in momentum.
All Star Interviews Season 3, Episode 4: Tony Dwyer, Chief Market Strategist at Canaccord Genuity
I’ve been a fan of Tony Dwyer’s work for a long time. Those of you who know me see me approach the market from a top/down global macro and intermarket perspective. Tony starts his process in a similar way at Cannacord Genuity and Dwyerstrategy.com. When we’re talking about the next direction for stocks, we both focus on other assets like credit to help identify big trends. We look at the behavior of commodity and currency markets to make decisions in equities. I thought this was a really fun conversation. I particularly enjoyed Tony’s comparisons to 1995 and what was going on then with respect to the President’s public issues, interest rates, precious metals and the US Dollar. This podcast could have gone on forever if we let it, but we kept it short and concise so we could get to the point quickly. [Read more…]
[Premium] Cannabis Update
From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting
Cannabis stocks have been a bit of a disaster since late March, but let’s take a look at what’s happening and if there’s a way to play it.
Post-FOMC Charts
From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting
Wednesday morning I outlined the charts we were watching ahead of the Fed Decision and what we would need to see before getting out of the way and reevaluating our bullish Equities and US Interest Rates thesis.
Today I want to look at those same charts and note what’s changed and how we’re moving forward.
Still Cleaning Up Overhead Supply
We’ve wanted to be erring on the long side of stocks if the major Indexes are above their 2018 highs. That has been the strategy for the second half of 2019. But what if we’re not above those highs? Then what? [Read more…]
[Premium] July Monthly Charts
Today we’re going to look at July’s monthly charts and identify the changes worth noting. [Read more…]
Relative Strength In Non-Bank Financials
Tuesday’s Mystery Chart received a lot of responses, with most of you were erring on the long side.
Now, let’s look at the chart and its related theme. [Read more…]
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