This is the video recording of our December 1, 2021 Monthly Charts Live Strategy Session
[Podcast] The Seasonality Episode w/ Jeff Hirsch, Author of the Stock Trader’s Almanac
As we make our way through the earlier stages of the most bullish time of the year, who better to talk to than Jeff Hirsch, Author of the annual Stock Trader’s Almanac.
When it comes to Technical Analysis, what we’re doing is analyzing the behavior of the market, and therefore market participants. Seasonality falls under that umbrella and Jeff Hirsch is the ultimate authority on the subject. He’s had a front row seat his entire life to how markets trend during different times of the year.
In this episode, we talk about “The Best 6 months”, the 4-year Presidential Cycle, Commodities Seasonality, and we even get to learn a little more about his father Yale Hirsch, the originator of the Almanac back in the 1960s.
Jeff Hirsch and I have known each other for many years and have hung out in Vegas, New York, San Francisco and hopefully many more fun cities to come in the future. So this was a blast!
I hope you enjoy this as much as I did.
Make sure to follow Jeff on Twitter @AlmanacTrader
November Is for the Little Guys
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza
The January Effect posits that financial markets experience a seasonal anomaly in the beginning of each year whereby stock prices tend to rise more than in any other month.
But this bullish period extends beyond a single month. In fact, our data show that buyers come out in full force starting in the late fall/early winter.
According to historic seasonal trends, the best time of the year for the stock market is from November to January. Smaller stocks are known to outperform during this period.
And if we’re focusing on small-caps, November is by far the single best month. So it should come as no surprise that the Russell 2000 and S&P Mid-Cap 400 are breaking out to fresh all-time highs this week. They did the same thing last November. In fact, November of 2020 was the best month ever for these small- and mid-cap indexes.
Let’s dive in and discuss some of the seasonal tailwinds supporting these new highs from SMIDs.
Buy In October and Get Yourself Sober
They love writing about ‘Selling in May and going away’.
Every year, they just can’t get enough of it.
But what about, “Remember to buy in November”?
Historically the best 3 month period of the year for stocks is from November through January.
As my pal Jeff Hirsch likes to say, “Buy in October and Get Yourself Sober”.
Here are all the seasonal cycles for the S&P500. The Green line includes every year since 1950 (1-year Cycle), the Blue line includes every year ending in 1 since 1951 (Decennial Cycle), and in Gray every post-election year since 1953 (Presidential Cycle): [Read more…]
[Premium] Conference Call Video Recording October 2021
This is the video recording of the October 2021 Conference Call.
[Premium] Q4 2021 Playbook
This is our ASC Research Q4 2021 Playbook.
- Stocks (International & U.S.)
- U.S. Sectors & Industries
- Market Breadth & Sentiment
- Commodities
- Currencies
- Intermarket Analysis
- Crypto Currencies
- New Trade Ideas
- Overall Strategy
Seasonal Weakness Is Almost Over
[Podcast] Momentum, Breadth & Seasonality w/ Ed Clissold, Chief U.S. Strategist at Ned David Research
On this episode of the podcast, I sit down with Ed Clissold, Chief U.S. Strategist at Ned Davis Research.
I’ve been a big fan of Ed’s work for a long time, not to mention Ned Davis is one of my personal heroes.
The work they do over there has been inspiring to me throughout my entire career. So as you can imagine, it was so fun and such a pleasure to chat with Ed.
We talk about Market Breadth, Sector Trends, Momentum and Seasonality.
If you have any exposure whatsoever in the market, or even thinking about putting on exposure, then this is the episode for you!
Enjoy!
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