Did you notice how Stocks, Bonds and Gold are all at or near 34-day highs? [Read more…]
[Premium] Bull Market Checklist Update – 4/27
Here is an update to our Bull Market Checklist of 20 Items.
*Note: The Sensitivity column represents how close the asset is to the risk level in question [Read more…]
Week In Review (04-24-20)
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza
For the week ended Friday, April 24, 2020:
Every weekend we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.
This week we want to highlight the continued divergence between Energy stocks and Oil using our Sector and Industry ETF and Commodity tables.
Party At The Golden Moon Tower
When analyzing the Gold Mining Sector, I can’t help but think about the 1993 movie Dazed & Confused. One of the more popular lines in the film is the perfect way to explain what is currently happening in today’s market.
In this scene Matthew McConaughey’s character is telling a couple of kids,
You heard about the party being busted right? Not to worry. There is a new fiesta in the making as we speak. It’s at the moon tower. Full kegs. Everybody’s gonna be there. You oughta go….”
[Options Premium] Selling the Big Cat
The guys at ASC are out with a piece this week highlighting the weakness under the hood in some of the biggest sectors in the US Stock Market. Read it here.
One of the poster children for weakness we want to get short ahead of another possible leg down is setting up right now. [Read more…]
This Market Is Breaking Down To A New Frontier
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza
We have been writing a lot about risk-appetite lately as we’re constantly trying to gauge the “animal spirits” at work in the markets. Right now we’re seeing a lack of participation from risk-assets such as Small-Caps, Commodities, and the more cyclical sectors as well as a risk-off theme in many of our intermarket ratios.
We’ve covered the US plenty already, so this post will focus on what we’re seeing from risk-assets in Equity Markets abroad.
This week’s Mystery Chart was an inverted chart of the Frontier Markets ETF (FM). Thanks to everyone for participating. You were pretty much ALL buyers this week, which means you were actually selling Frontier Markets against their prior all-time lows.
[Chart Of The Week] What Did The Cyclicals Say To The Spooz?
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza
Yesterday I wrote a post about deteriorating market internals. I discussed breadth divergences as well as the lack of confirmation of the S&P 500’s recent highs from many important sectors and indexes.
In this post, we’re going to focus specifically on the Large-Cap Sector SPDRs that failed to make higher highs and are showing early signs of cracking. To no surprise, these are some of the most cyclical areas of the market including Industrials (XLI), Financials (XLF), Materials (XLB), and Energy (XLE).
This speaks to the lack of risk-appetite we continue to see not only within equities but across all asset classes right now.
[Premium] Updating Our Bond ETF Levels & Playing Devil’s Advocate
From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting
Bonds are on the move once again, so we’re updating our risk management levels and targets.
Additionally, we’ll revisit the ratios to analyze which credit quality and duration characteristics remain in favor.
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