You guys know that I prefer to incorporate more of a weight-of-the-evidence approach to markets rather than basing my decision making on a single indicator. We look at stock markets all over the world to find themes, both bullish and bearish, and then take advantage of them within U.S. markets. I then take a similar approach and go sector by sector in the U.S., including a series of sub-sectors, to break it down even further and find themes within the U.S. As you guys well know, the reason we were bullish since January was because of the weight-of-the-evidence internationally, not because of what we saw in the S&P500 or Dow Jones Industrial Average. [Read more…]
[Premium] Weekly Open Letter About The Current Market Environment
In this week’s members-only letter we discuss the following topics:
- Why Has Latin America Been the Best Place To Invest?
- What Will Further U.S. Dollar Weakness Do To Stocks?
- With Interest Rates Bouncing, What Do We Do With Bonds?
- The Consumer Staples Trade and Coca-Cola
- Gold Miners and Other Metals
- Will Developed Markets Catch Up With Emerging Market Stocks?
- U.S. Small & Micro-Caps vs U.S. Large-caps
- What Does This Strength In Transports Mean?
[Premium] My Notes From Friday’s Charting Session
Next week I will be out of the office from Monday through Wednesday as I will be traveling for business in New York City and Baltimore. If you are in the New York City area on Tuesday afternoon, come join me at the Marriott Marquis for a discussion on how to use Technical Analysis to approach the Global Marketplace.
On Friday I updated all of the U.S. Sectors & Sub-sectors, Commodities and Currencies on both weekly and daily timeframes in the Chartbook. I took some notes along the way and wanted to share them with you guys. Here are a few things that stood out: [Read more…]
[Premium] Weekly Open Letter About The Current Market Environment
In this week’s members-only letter we discuss the following topics:
- Why Emerging Markets Are Outperforming U.S. Stocks
- Did you Listen and Take Profits In Treasury Bonds Last Week?
- How To Make Money In Apple, Twitter, Yahoo and GoPro
- Which Developed Markets Should We Buy: Europe or Japan?
- Is It Time To Own China? Why?
- Which Stocks Will Lead the U.S. Stock Market Higher?
12 Charts You Need To Make Money In Gold
Precious metals are a sensitive subject in some circles. Discussions about gold or silver tend to bring out more anger and craziness than other assets. As someone who couldn’t care less about what we’re trading, Gold, Apple, Bonds, Australian Dollars or Go Pro, to me it’s just letters and math. I find it kind of funny when people get extra sensitive about a specific asset. Precious metals bring out some of the most hilarious commentary.
Today, I want to break down Gold and Precious Metals from many different angles in order to put it into context from both a structural perspective and a shorter-term tactical outlook. [Read more…]
[Premium] Monthly Conference Call Video Recording February 2016
Here is the video recording of the February 2016 Monthly Conference Call for Members Only
In the call we discuss:
- Can we still get a counter-trend rally before getting down to 1720 in the S&P500?
- What Do We Do Now That Bonds Hit Our Upside Targets?
- Why Emerging Markets will keep outperforming
- Crude Oil and Gold – What do we do with these now?
- Gold Miners and Junior Gold Miners
- Exxon and Chevron – Which One? And How Do We Buy Them?
- Head & Shoulders Top in Semiconductors
- How Low Can The U.S. Stock Market go?
[Premium] My Recent Notes On Commodities & Currency Markets
I just finished my Commodities and Currencies review and updated all of them in the Chartbook. Today’s notes include updates on:
- Crude Oil
- Gold
- Silver
- Palladium
- Cotton
- Soybeans
- EUR/USD
- USD/JPY [Read more…]
[Premium] Weekly Open Letter About The Current Market Environment
In this week’s members-only letter we discuss the following topics:
- Is the Mean Reversion Higher In Stocks Still In Play?
- What Do We Do Now That Treasury Bonds Hit Our Upside Targets?
- What It Will Take To See Apple, Twitter and Yahoo Rally This Month
- Where is the Euro headed next
- Why It’s Important To Define Your Time Horizon
- The Sectors That Will Lead In February