This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.
Buy New 6-month Lows In Long-term Uptrends?
Commodities Weekly: Keep an Eye on Energy
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley
Risk assets have been getting hit for the past two weeks. Stocks have been under pressure, and commodities have been struggling.
Meanwhile, we never saw any real follow-through lower in the Dollar, as DXY has bounced right back to the upper bounds of its year-to-date range.
But, as usual, we continue to see pockets of strength in the commodities complex.
Last week, we wrote about the resilience from base metals, such as Steel, Nickel, and Aluminum.
More recently, we’re seeing relative strength from the Energy complex. That’s what we’re going to talk about today… [Read more…]
[Options Premium] AI Support for Semis
Another 20 year base breakout? This is the second one we’re putting a trade on in this week! Maybe the market is trying to tell us something?
I have to be honest, when I first pulled this ticker up, I thought it was a Men’s suits maker. But when I learned it’s involved in the intersection of Artificial Intelligence and Semiconductors, the sex-factor went up for me.
Let’s get right to it… [Read more…]
[Premium] Details For September 2021 Conference Call
These are the registration details for our live conference call for Premium Members of All Star Charts.
This month’s Conference Call will be held on Monday September 20th at 6PM ET. As always, if you cannot make the call live, the video and slides will be archived and published here along with every other live call since 2015.
Here are the details for Monday night: [Read more…]
Risky Business
From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Grant Hawkridge @granthawkridge
In today’s post, we’re going to do an update on some of our favorite and most essential intermarket indicators. We’ve also updated our risk checklist so we can discuss the changes that have occurred over the past week or so.
Are market participants embracing more or less risk these days?
We’ll get there.
We’ve been obnoxious about our theme that this remains a messy environment for stocks, which is nothing but classic “year two” bull market behavior.
But guess what: That’s just what it is right now. You have to play the cards you’re dealt, and right now they’re not the best. This is particularly true for trend-followers like ourselves.
Let’s talk about why.
There’s No Such Thing as a “Crypto Expert”
Crypto as an asset class can be very intimidating.
There’s so much jargon and nomenclature thrown around, and the drivers of these tokens are very different from traditional markets.
And it’s certainly not getting any simpler. There’s a flourishing list of smart contract platforms, defi protocols, and other projects, all with their own objectives, purpose, and communities.
Whether you’re a developer or a humble trader looking to lend and borrow in the world of defi, the market is becoming so oversaturated with all these protocols that it becomes downright daunting to even touch it.
But I think we can all take solace in the fact that no one is a complete expert in this stuff.
This isn’t commodities or stocks where a group of oldtimers have decades of experience dealing with these markets. Crypto has been around for less than a decade, and in the case of the biggest names in the asset class today, less than a few years.
And even from a research and analysis perspective, up until this point, the entire industry of on-chain analytics was done by a select number of people. Only in the last 12-months has the industry started to pick up (and by pick up, I mean less than half a dozen data providers and full-time analysts).
The point is, other than a very select number of individuals, cryptocurrencies are new to everyone.
If you’re feeling bogged down by all the information thrown out there, don’t stress.
Despite what others will tell you, if you’re struggling to grasp it all, you’re doing great.
Everyone’s learning this together.
Go try your hand at yield farming, mining Helium, or slinging NFTs.
The greater risk here would be to not learn about this stuff.
RPP Report: Review. Preview. Profit. (09-16-2021)
From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza
Welcome to our latest RPP Report, where we publish return tables for various asset classes and categories, along with commentary on each.
Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the absolute and relative trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching to profit in the weeks and months ahead.
We consider this our weekly state of the union address, as we break down and reiterate both our tactical and structural outlook on various asset classes and discuss the most important themes and developments currently playing out in markets all around the world.
In our RPP Report from the end of August, we discussed how the weakest areas were registering failed breakdowns and digging in at support.
In our most recent report, we focused on how the strongest areas were making fresh record highs. Things were looking up for the bulls… but that changed once again.
We’ve talked about how it’s been a back and forth battle with neither buyers nor sellers making any material progress for months now. And that’s exactly what we’re continuing to see, as bears have regained control again, pushing the major indexes lower for five straight sessions coming into this week.
For this reason, we thought a mid-week edition of the RPP would be appropriate to give us time to see what kind of follow-through would occur following the recent selloff.
In this week’s report, we’re going to talk about this near-term weakness but also some positive developments, like the healthy expansion in participation for ex-US equities in recent weeks and months.
I’m working with a broken hand these days, so we’re also going to try and let the charts do most of the talking. Don’t worry, there are plenty out there that have something to say. Let’s look at some now.
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