Relative Rotation Graphs are some of the best visual tools in Technical Analysis today. In this episode, I am thrilled to have the creator of RRG, Julius de Kempenaer, on to talk about what first inspired him to create this tool and what some of the best practices are for market participants. I discovered RRG about 6-7 years ago after watching a colleague use it during a presentation at Bloomberg in New York City. As a technician, I use charts to visualize data to help identify trends and manage risk. RRG is more of a rotation tool that can be used for sectors, country indexes and currencies. By using a combination of Relative Strength and Momentum data, the RRG rotates clockwise from Leading to Weakening, to Lagging, to Improving and then back again to Leading. In this discussion, Julius walks us through how he likes to use it and explains its construction. If you’re interested at all in sector rotation and relative strength, this tool is for you! [Read more…]
Overthinking Intermarket Analysis: Yield Curve Edition
Everyone these days is talking about yield curves inverting. It’s the topic du jour, similar to things like golden crosses and 200 day moving averages. The difference is that this one is more intermarket oriented. “Well if this happens to bonds and that happens to rates, then this historically happens to stocks, or the economy”. Observing the behavior of one asset class to help make decisions on another is called Intermarket Analysis, or “Cross-Asset” in some more institutional circles.
I don’t think there is much more for me to say at this point about the yield curve. The crew over at The Chart Report pretty much covered it all beautifully last week. The short end of the curve (10-year minus 3-month) turned negative, but the long end of the curve did not. The 10s-30s spread is steepening and controlled by free markets vs the fed controlled short end. We’ve seen this happen before, like in the 90s for example, without it sparking bear markets. [Read more…]
Video: Trading East Coast Hours vs the West Coast Lifestyle
Do you live on the East coast and ever wonder what it would be like to be a trader on the West coast? Could you handle working on a much different schedule? In today’s video, we chat with my pal Mehmet Gunay who I met during his time at SMB Capital when I lived in New York City. Today, he lives in San Francisco and seems to have adjusted pretty well to the time change and lifestyle. I would have to agree with him. I enjoy the west coast hours much better than when I lived in New York. The ability to do things after work with plenty of sun light left is very appealing. [Read more…]
I Am Very Bullish On Technical Analysis
We might be in a rangebound market for stocks, but one thing is for sure: the trend for Technical Analysis is up.
I’ve had a front row seat to the growth of this discipline and its practitioners for the past 15 years, since first starting my journey. I was half way through John Murphy’s Technical Analysis of Financial Markets when I knew this was for me. Things only became more clear after that. As I read through Edwards & Magee and many other books, the way markets behaved just started making more and more sense. [Read more…]
India’s Bank Stocks Are The World Leaders
When most of us think of bank stocks, we’re generally not saying positive things. We have a bad taste in our mouth, particularly since early last year. But that’s not the case in India.
Look at this chart. Which one is different? [Read more…]
[Premium] Monthly Conference Call Video Recording March 2019
This is the video recording of the March 2019 Conference Call.
[Premium India] Monthly Conference Call Video Recording March 2019
This is the recording from the live March 2019 Conference Call for Members of the Allstarcharts India! Before getting into individual stock ideas in India, we’re going to first start with the global macro perspective. Once we identify the direction of the underlying trends from a structural and broader view, then we’ll dive into the NIFTY Indexes on both longer-term and short-term timeframe. We want to look at Large-caps, Small-caps and everything in between before getting into the Sector and Industries themselves like Energy, Banks and Pharma.
This is when we finally break things down to the individual stock scenario with identified risk vs reward opportunities. That is what this is all about – aligning ourselves in the direction of the underlying trend while at the same time identifying where the risk is to make sure the potential reward is skewed exponentially in our favor. You will find that throughout this process we discuss Momentum, Fibonacci and Relative Strength. I encourage you to check out the Education Section so you know exactly where I’m coming from when you hear me mention these tools.
Here is the video in full:
Video: Financing Options Trades vs Buying Them Naked
The cool thing about working with smart people is being able to learn from them. Having Sean McLaughlin on our team has made everyone better, not just our clients but us as well. In today’s video, we tackle the question of when it makes more sense to finance an options position by selling a different contract to collect the income vs simply just buying calls or puts. As usual, Sean does a nice job of explaining this in a way that anyone could understand. [Read more…]
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