This is the video recording of the February 2022 Mid-month Conference Call.
Mixed Evidence for Risk Appetite
From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Grant Hawkridge @granthawkridge
There’s been very little happening on our risk checklist, as evidence for risk appetite remains split between bulls and bears.
The last time we discussed it was in our Q1 Playbook. While the list hasn’t picked a decisive direction yet, the fact that it’s such a mixed bag is information in and of itself.
It’s been an excellent roadmap for us in recent months, because just like the market — our risk checklist has also been a mess.
Let’s take a look at where we stand and discuss some of the more recent developments.
“Will we enter into a bear market?”
Do You Own The Right FANG?
Commodities Keep Winning
From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Grant Hawkridge @granthawkridge
In April 2020, crude oil traded below zero and marked the perfect capitulation event for a number of trends.
Around the very same time, both commodities and stocks bottomed and kicked off major rallies.
Until recently, commodities had underperformed stocks for about a decade. To make matters worse, they were moving lower on an absolute basis for most of that time as well.
Not only have commodities started to trend higher on an absolute basis again. They’re also undergoing a reversal in their relative trend with stocks and other alternatives.
We’ve been clear about our bullish position as we’ve discussed the potential for a new commodity supercycle for over a year.
Now, we want to take that thesis one step further as the evidence is building in favor of commodities experiencing a sustained period of outperformance relative to stocks.
To best take advantage of this trend, we want to be overweight commodities and commodity-related stocks.
Let’s dive in and take a look at some asset allocation ratios in order to illustrate what is taking place among the various asset classes.
[Premium] Monthly Charts Strategy Session February 2022
This is the video recording of our February 1st Monthly Charts Live Strategy Session
Resistance at Zero
Long Wicks = Pain For Short Sellers?
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