What do we know about new all-time highs? We know they’re not a characteristic of a downtrend.
I often get that guy that comes to me and says, “Well every new downtrend must start from a new high”. Yes, and that must be a great way to go through life.
You see, markets trend. That’s why Technical Analysis works. That’s why this is so valuable. Because if you can recognize the direction of the underlying trend, you’re already way ahead of the pack. The likelihood for a trend to continue in its path is exponentially higher that for it to reverse. A 4-year old can recognize if a chart is going up, down or sideways. It’s the adults that have more trouble with this.
As I went through all my weekly charts this weekend, I noticed an interesting underlying theme: New Highs. [Read more…]