One of the strongest and most impressive trends over the past 8 years has been the fierce and dramatic outperformance of the United States Stock Market over everyone else. Even when global equities have gotten hit hard, the U.S. has been referred to as the “Best house in a bad block”. This is for good reason too. It has been. We’ve seen tremendous outperformance during both good and bad markets. [Read more…]
One of the big themes that I see globally right now is the inordinate amount of bullish momentum divergences across the board. You can see these even more pronounced in the emerging market countries, although to be fair, they can be found in the developed nations as well. They are all detailed in the Chartbook. I think that a very telling chart right now is the S&P500 vs the MSCI Emerging Markets Index.
Here we are looking at a very well-defined multi-year uptrend channel in the S&P500 vs MSCI Emerging Markets Index [Read more…]
While everyone is making a big fuss about S&Ps making new lows, or Oil hitting new lows, or the amount of stocks in the NYSE hitting new lows, believe it or not, there are plenty of things making new highs. So although we’ve been bearish towards the U.S. Stock Market for months and could not be happier to see stocks continuing to sell off, today I want to focus on something that is making new highs.
This is a 20-year chart of Gold relative to the CRB index. This index is comprised of 19 Commodities including Crude Oil, Copper, Corn, Sugar, Gold etc. We consider the CRB to be the benchmark for the commodities markets [Read more…]