One thing I know about this time of the year is that whipsaws thrive.
We call it Whipsaw Hunting Season.
The lack of liquidity, and lack of interest due to other life priorities, creates over-extended and exaggerated moves that otherwise would not be allowed to occur under normal supply and demand conditions.
But since the b-squads are on the desks, you regularly get failed moves this time of the year that result in very fast moves in the opposite direction.
For some great examples see $GDX in December 2016 and check out $TLT in December 2013, among many others.
These were nasty failed moves that ripped the short sellers’ faces off into the new year.
We see these sorts of moves born around this time every single season. It’s perfectly normal market (human) behavior.
So as we go hunting this year, Tesla really stands out as a potentially great candidate. [Read more…]