Here is the video from my BNN Bloomberg interview this week. We talk about the implications of a weaker US Dollar, including what that would do to stocks, emerging markets, metals and others. I’ve been waiting for it all year. But think about it. We’ve already seen some of the things we would expect to see in a weaker Dollar environment. Gold strong, for example, and an inability for the Euro to go lower. So for me, I think this Dollar fall is just getting started. [Read more…]
[Premium] Monthly Conference Call Video Recording June 2019
This is the video recording of the June 2019 Conference Call.
[Options] Best Practices: Selling Half
One of the things I harp on here is Best Practices. When I make it a habit to engage in best practices in terms of both strategy selection and position management, I put myself in position to win more often.
Best Practices skews odds in my favor. It keeps me from swimming upstream against volatility currents. It keeps my risk lower. It helps with P/L consistency. And it helps me stick with trades that still have time to play out.
Selling Half is a position management best practice I employ most often when trading straight long calls and long puts. I like to sell half of my position when the value of the position has doubled. It can be very tempting to want to hold your entire position if it quickly runs up and you find yourself sitting on tremendous profits thanks to the leverage inherent in long options. And certainly, there are times when I wished I would’ve just sat on my hands as I watched a stock continue to fly higher. But for every one of those times I wish I had, there are easily five other times I’m glad I hadn’t.
You see, when a position doubles or triples (or more) in size, the open profits are nice — but they are distracting. What??? Hear me out… [Read more…]
[Options] When to Press, When to Manage
There are a number of great services for options traders out there that offer smart ideas for premium selling, or Iron Condor trading, or earnings trades — I’m friends with many of the best practitioners. They are fantastic at what they do and I’m happy to name names. Just ask.
Subscribers to All Star Options come to us for option trade ideas which take advantage of directional edges the All Star Charts research team uncovers through exhaustive technical analysis. We are not beholden to any particular type of strategy, options spread, or timeframe. We simply examine each opportunity on a case-by-case basis and make an informed decision on what we feel is a good way to play a particular situation. We might not always end up picking the “best” way to leverage into a opportunity, but we think over time and over many iterations, our good decisions compound favorably.
We’re just as likely to go long premium as we are to go short premium. Sometimes we just buy long calls, and other times we put on bullish Risk Reversal trades. Or maybe we’ll sell a Bear Call Spread or a bearish Put Calendar Spread. We simply choose strategies that we think align best with the current volatility environment, our time frame, and our expected move — often with significant margin for error or defined risk. [Read more…]
[Premium] Details For June 2019 Conference Call
These are the registration details for the monthly conference call for Premium Members of All Star Charts. In this call we will discuss the global market environment and how to profit from it. As always, this will include Stocks, Interest Rates, Commodities and Currencies. The video of the call will be archived in the members section to re-watch any time and the PDF of the charts will be made available as well.
This month’s Conference Call will be held on Monday June 19th at 7PM ET. Here are the details for the call: [Read more…]
Momentum Problems Remain
We’ve been writing about the lack of trend in India and Equities around the globe for months and despite the breakout to new highs in the Nifty 50 and several Large-Cap stocks, we remain cautious about calling this a “confirmed uptrend” and getting overly aggressive on the long side.
In this post, we’ll explain why this remains a two-way tape.
[Chart(s) of The Week] Two Major Breakouts
While updating our Members-Only Chartbooks today we came across two major breakouts that need to be pointed out as they play key roles in the Infrastructure and Public Sector Bank Sectors.
Let’s take a look.
Canada Update
From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting
On May 1st, we wrote an update called “Canada or Cantada” going through the major sectors/indexes to provide a view on how we wanted to approach Canadian Equities.
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