This is the video recording of the August 2020 Conference Call.
A Brand New Bull Market For Stocks?
Everything in life is relative. In markets, it works the same way.
“How could someone possibly want to own these bonds that pay negative yields”?
Well, what’s the alternative? Crashing stocks? Collapsing energy commodities? It’s all relative.
In my experience, when assets are in strong uptrends, some might call those “bull markets”, they don’t just do well on an absolute basis, but they also tend to outperform their alternatives. In the case of stocks, you have Bonds and Gold that are two other very popular places to allocate capital.
The Chart of the Week has to be the Nasdaq 100 breaking out of a multi-year base relative to US Treasury Bonds (Blue Line). I also included the Nasdaq relative to Gold, which has yet to complete this basing period (Black Line): [Read more…]
So Much “Potential” Resistance For America
The words “Support” and “Resistance” get thrown around a lot. In most cases, it’s stated as fact, “This level is resistance”, or “There is support at that price”. What is important to remember, however, is that these are only “Potential levels” of support and resistance. We may have evidence suggesting there could be overhead supply near a certain price, but we won’t know for sure until after the fact.
Today I want to talk about how many Indexes in the U.S. are approaching “Potential” Resistance.
Let’s take a step back and define what that actually means. Resistance is when there is an overwhelming amount of selling pressure vs buying pressure. There are more sellers, than buyers (or as the smart ass in the corner will mention, it could be one giant seller and not necessarily more of them, but I digress). Bottom line is, that Resistance is the price where there is more supply for an asset than there is demand for it.
The first obvious one is the S&P500 getting back to its February highs: [Read more…]
Healthcare Breaks Out To All-time Highs
Healthcare stocks are breaking out to their highest levels in history. This isn’t something where we’re waiting for them to recover. We’re betting that this is actually just the beginning. Healthcare stocks are going a lot higher if the S&P500 is going to 4000. That’s the bet we’re making.
Here is the Healthcare Index Fund $XLV closing at back-to-back all-time highs the past 2 weeks. I think there’s another 14% if upside from here: [Read more…]
Charts & Ventures w/ JC & Howard Lindzon: Winners & Losers Post-Covid
This week on the show, Howard and I talk about the winners and losers of the post Covid world. We spend a lot of time focused on the companies doing great things and building cool tools, but who are the ones getting left behind? Which ones are the shorts?
Here is the video in full. Enjoy!
Media Appearance: Sector Rotation Supports S&P500 To 4000
It’s always fun chatting with Catherine over at BNN Bloomberg. She has the uncanny ability of getting me on her show just at the right time! In February, I explained very clearly why we were raising cash (the week before the biggest market crash ever), and then in early July I was screaming on television to buy stocks aggressively, just before a slew of new sectors started breaking out to the upside.
Today, I have a similar bullish view. This is a market that is rewarding us for buying stocks. That’s the bottom line. And we don’t see any evidence of that changing yet. Catherine also asked me about the Bond Market and I explained why I think rates go higher.
We like the have fun with these. Life is short. I hope you enjoy it! [Read more…]
[Premium] Details For August 2020 Conference Call
These are the registration details for the live monthly conference call for Premium Members of All Star Charts.
This month’s Conference Call will be held on Tuesday August 18th at 6PM ET. As always, if you cannot make the call live, the video and slides will be archived and published here along with every other live call since 2015.
Here are the details for Tuesday: [Read more…]
[Video] Happy Hour w/ Traders: Bart’s Charts
This week on Happy Hour with Traders, I sit down with my old friend James Bartelloni. Some of you have seen him before, Chart Summit 2018 or on the podcast: Season 2 Episode 10. For those of you who are new to Bart and his ways of approaching markets, I encourage you to set aside some time to hear him out.
I first met Bart back in 2006 when I began studying for my CMT Exams. Back in the day they used to have this thing called CMTi, where CMT Charterholders would help candidates prepare for the various levels and teach classes online. They don’t do that anymore, which is unfortunate, because there’s no way I would have passed that CMT Level 2 exam without Bart’s help.
Anyway, Bart likes to refer to himself as an “Intermarket Musician”. He looks at musical notes and the earth’s vibrations to help him make sense of market behavior. Don’t dismiss it right away. Trust me. Give it a chance. He also dives into what he’s learning about in Connie Brown’s new book (over 1000 pages!). I encourage you to listen to the podcast episode I did with her as well.
Here is the full video with Bart. Make yourself a cocktail before this one:
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