This is the video recording of our February 5th Monthly Charts Live Strategy Session
Buyers Lift the Offer for Bonds
From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley
The FOMC stuck to its script this week, kicking the can and keeping rates steady.
Everyone was expecting the news. But the market wasn’t expecting Fed Chairman Jerome Powell (the man, the myth, the legend) to completely dash its hopes of a March cut.
Strangely enough, rates continue to fall on the news – even as markets adjust to the possibility of the initial rate cut now coming in May.
Tracking the Bounce in Interest Rates
From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley
High-yield bonds are printing fresh highs relative to US Treasuries – signs of a healthy risk appetite.
Bond market volatility is collapsing, allowing equities to take center stage.
And interest rates are trending lower since peaking last October.
But looking ahead to next month, we could see rates correct higher.
Investors Prefer Riskier Bonds
From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley
Inflation is proving sticky.
So what?
Stocks remain buoyant.
And bonds – the largest market in the world – continue to reveal a risk-on environment.
T-Bonds Stall at Resistance
From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley
US treasuries finished 2023 with a bang, hitting our initial targets before Christmas.
But the long-bond trade is losing its luster.
Resistance is now coming into play as the bond market catches its breath…
[Premium] Monthly Charts Strategy Session January 2024
This is the video recording of our January 2nd Monthly Charts Live Strategy Session
A Likely Landing Pad for Interest Rates
From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley
JC asked me how far I thought interest rates would pull back during a recent internal meeting.
The question caught me off guard since I trade bonds, not interest rates. I know my bond trade targets off the top of my head, but not the corresponding rate levels.
As soon as the call ended, I applied Fibonacci analysis to the 30- and 10-year yields…
What’s Driving Stock Prices
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