This is the 2nd Quarter Playbook for Members of Allstarcharts.com [Read more…]
[Premium] An Inside Look At Momentum In This Market
When I get asked about what I think the most important technical indicators are, I have to start with price. This is where it all begins and ends. Everything else is just a derivative of price. Let’s not forget that. We can use all sorts of other things to help supplement that price analysis, but only if we understand that is all they are, supplements.
After price, for me it’s momentum and relative strength that we’re looking for. We want to be in stocks outperforming other stocks and showing positive momentum. Why mess around with stocks showing weakness and not showing bullish momentum? That makes little sense. Today we are going to focus on the areas showing the most relative strength and momentum, how to profit from it, and what that means for the overall market. [Read more…]
[Premium] An Update on All U.S. Stock Market Indexes
Here at Allstarcharts, none of us know what is going to happen in the market next week or next month or even next year. But the good news is that no one else does either. So it’s an even playing field among all of us, whether you’re Warren Buffett, Joey Home Gamer or anything in between. All we can do is take the data as it comes in, consistently reevaluate, and position ourselves in the direction with the highest probabilities.
Today we are taking a look at just the U.S. Stock Market Indexes to see where the risk lies and what we want to see to position ourselves aggressively on the long side. [Read more…]
[Premium] Monthly Conference Call Video Recording March 2018
This is the video recording of the March 2018 Conference Call. This month we focus more on the fact that this is a market of stocks, and not just a stock market. In this video I present my case for why the overwhelming evidence is suggesting that stocks are going higher, not just in the United States, but all over the world. I specifically point out a list of 20 risk indicators that we want to watch extra closely. These “indicators”, as I call them, consist of very important stock indexes and ratios that indicate to us whether there is more risk appetite or risk aversion from institutional investors.
The idea is not to buy every stock mentioned in this video, but to take the evidence collectively to come to a responsible conclusion. If I was seeing more stocks to short than stocks to buy, we would be shorting stocks. But we’re not. I see big bases and breakouts from them all over the place. We have to play the cards we’re dealt, not the cards we wish we had. In this month’s call, I present to you exactly what I’m seeing right now.
Here is the video in full:
[Premium] Members-Only Conference Call Wednesday March 14th at 7PM ET
Every month I host a conference call for All Star Charts Premium Members where we discuss ongoing themes throughout the global marketplace as well as changes in trends where new positions would be most appropriate. This includes U.S. Stocks & Sectors, International Stock Indexes, Commodities, Currencies and Interest Rate Markets.
We’ve been on the right side of the market as we have focused on leading stocks and sectors and ignored the noise coming from the media. They want to run night time specials about markets in turmoil so they can sell ads to their precious sponsors at the expense of their consumers. We focus on the bond market that was screaming at us to buy stocks because we were not seeing any stress in credit. To the contrary, we saw credit spreads tightening while some were irresponsibly freaking out. We want to stick with this bullish approach to equities as there continues to be overwhelming evidence that stocks are in uptrends, not downtrends.
This month’s Conference Call will be held on Wednesday March 14th at 7PM ET. Here are the Registration Details: [Read more…]
[Premium] Bonds & Interest Rates: Now What?
U.S. Treasury Bonds have gotten absolutely destroyed, particularly on the shorter end of the curve. With interest rates exploding higher, money has been flowing beautifully out of the bond market. We’re obviously happy to see that. It took a little longer to get going than we originally wanted it to, but we got there. So now the reevaluation process is upon us.
Today I want to talk about what we want to do here with respect to Bonds and Interest Rates and what some of our options might be. [Read more…]
[Premium] The Consumer Stocks We Want To Buy
It’s a bull market in stocks. The bond market is confirming that. Until we start to see evidence that suggests otherwise, we remain in the camp that this is a ‘buy weakness’ environment and not a time to be selling strength. To get 2018 going on a good note, Consumer Discretionary stocks broke out relative to the S&P500. This is one of the most important sectors in America and I believe it is still in a secular bull market. [Read more…]
[Premium] Monthly Conference Call Video Recording February 2018
This is the video recording of the February 2018 Conference Call. This month we’re starting with the weakness of the U.S. Dollar and how we can profit from the circumstances. The rotation into areas like Base Metals, Emerging Markets, Gold and Mining Stocks fits into that theme of weaker Dollars. We’re seeing strength in both develop market currencies and emerging.We’re seeing that strength in both developed market currencies and emerging.
Within the U.S., the relative strength continues to be in Financials and Technology, what I would consider to be the two most important sectors in America. Industrials and Transportation stocks look to rebound here as well. The weight of the evidence is suggesting that we want to be buying weakness in stocks, including the narrowing of credit spreads in the Bond Market and the outperformance from European and US Banks.
Here is the video in full where I lay out my best case for the coming weeks and months:
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