I heard a good one this morning:
Where do Traders go for Drinks?
An Outside Bar!
haha
Hat tip to Sean for that one.
Anyway, how are you enjoying what is historically the worst part of the 4-year cycle? [Read more…]
Expert technical analysis of financial markets by JC Parets
by JC
I heard a good one this morning:
Where do Traders go for Drinks?
An Outside Bar!
haha
Hat tip to Sean for that one.
Anyway, how are you enjoying what is historically the worst part of the 4-year cycle? [Read more…]
From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza
This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow.
In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish, but NOT both.
We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.
Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.
We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades.
What remains is a list of stocks that large financial institutions are putting big money behind.
They’re doing so for one reason only: because they think the stock is about to move in their direction and make them a pretty penny.
Then we flip through our list of stocks flashing unusual activity and pick the best setups using many of the same technical filters we do for our other scans.
And, just like that, we’ll follow the money flow and fatten our own pockets along with some of the world’s most powerful financial institutions.
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza
Welcome to our latest Minor Leaguers report.
We’ve had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.
We recently decided to expand our universe to include some mid-caps…
For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.
That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.
The way we did this is simple…
To make the cut for our new Minor Leaguers list, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.
And it doesn’t have to be a Russell component–it can be any US-listed equity. With participation expanding around the globe, we want all those ADRs in our universe.
The same price and liquidity filters are applied. Then, as always, we sort by proximity to new highs in order to focus on the best players.
But, instead of all-time highs, we’re sorting by 52-week highs these days, as we don’t want to discriminate against energy or other cyclical stocks.
The goal is still to catch the strongest names while they’re small and have serious upside potential. If any of these stocks ever climb the ranks to the big leagues, the returns could be huge.
We’re looking at up to 10x moves just to break into large-cap land!
Let’s dive into this week’s report and see what’s happening in some of the hottest stocks in the Minor Leagues.
by Louis Sykes
From the desk of Louis Sykes @haumicharts
We’ve talked at length about the correlations between macro markets and Bitcoin.
A critical element underlying our crypto thesis is heavily driven by how price action is trading alongside equity markets.
In the case of the US dollar, it’s the exact same, but the opposite.
Recently, there’s been a notable negative correlation between Bitcoin and the dollar.
by JC
The average stock listed on the NYSE is down over 34% off its highs.
The new 52-week highs list peaked in February of last year – that was over 15 months ago!
We’ve now seen more stocks hitting new lows than new highs for the most consecutive weeks since the Great Financial Crisis.
The Technology, Communications and Consumer Discretionary sectors combined make up almost half of the stocks in the entire S&P500. They’re each now down 26%, 33% and 35%, respectively.
In fact, almost half the stocks on the Nasdaq have seen their prices get cut in half.
And people keep asking me if we’re going into a bear market?
What the hell do you call that?
If you define all that as a bull market, then I think you need to check yourself into a mental hospital. [Read more…]
by JC
This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.
by Ian Culley
From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley
Markets trend. Trends persist.
Those crucial Dow Theory tenets form the foundational premises of technical analysis.
As technicians, identifying trends is a central component of our work.
But, most of the time, markets remain range-bound, as we experienced during the choppy mess that dominated the stock market and so many risk assets last year.
However, during that time, commodities continued to rip higher.
Now that the rally in raw materials is reaching significant areas of overhead supply, it would make sense for this leadership space to follow stocks and enter a corrective period.
In other words, the uptrend in commodities that has persisted since 2020 is likely to take a breather and turn into a sideways trend.
Let’s talk about it.
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza
Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.
These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.
It has all the big names and more.
It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that, which you can check out here.
The Hall of Famers is simple.
We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.
Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.