From time to time, a slowly developing opportunity presents itself and in doing so gives you multiple ways to profit — while also incrementally reducing your risk as time goes along. This type of situation is presenting itself currently in Marathon Oil $MRO. [Read more…]
[Options Premium] Getting Resourceful
Continental Resources $CLR has been consolidating in a range just below 4-year highs, and recent price action has brought it to a level where I like our odds for an income trade. [Read more…]
[Chart Of The Week] Money Keeps Flowing Into Consumer Discretionary!
This has been the big theme throughout this bull market: Money flowing into Consumer Discretionary stocks at a more rapid rate than towards Consumer Staples. By our work, this is characteristic of an uptrend in U.S. stocks and has been a great tell for a long time. You guys following along for the past few years know that well. We even nicknamed the Staples underperformance as, “The Most Bullish Chart On Earth” (See May 2017). [Read more…]
[Options Premium] The Times Are Ex-Changin’
Following up on our discussion from the September All Star Options conference call, we will lay out here the trade in $CME that we presented to subscribers. The stock move is underway, but there is still plenty of meat on the bone and I like the trade even more now. [Read more…]
The Bear Case For US Stocks
From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting
For most of this year we’ve been writing about the overwhelming amount of bullish evidence for US Equities, however, as part of our “weight of the evidence” approach we’re always questioning our thesis (i.e. here and here).
In today’s post I want to share that exercise as I perform it, outlining some current concerns and what the market would potentially look like in an environment where stocks as in the US as an asset class are falling. We’re going to stick with our top-down approach and start with International Equities and inter-market relationships, then drill down into specific examples that help illustrate what we’re talking about.
[Options] Options Volatility Says Keep it Simple Here
Stocks are still near all-time highs, volatilities are once again compressed, earnings season is behind us, and some bullish runs in individual names are looking extended. Coming out of Labor Day Weekend, the game plan should be to keep it simple until things change. [Read more…]
[Premium] US Energy Deep Dive
From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting
Two weeks ago I wrote about the Canada’s Energy markets, but today I want to do a deep dive into the US Energy Markets. In line with our top-down approach, we’ll start with Commodities in general, get into Crude Oil and some inter-market relationships, individual sector ETFs, and finally equities with the best reward/risk scenarios.
I’m In Texas This Week. Come Hang Out!
I’m in Texas all week talking charts and watching college football. I will be presenting at the local chapters of the CMT Association, including Dallas, Austin and Houston. If you’re in the area, I invite you to join us one of these evenings for a walk through what we’re currently seeing in the market. I’ll show you how I incorporate a top/down approach looking at global stock indexes and U.S. sectors & industry groups to ultimately find individual stocks to buy and sell.
Here are the details:
*Note the time for the Dallas meeting has been changed to 4PM ET [Read more…]
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