This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.
The Hall of Famers (11-05-2021)
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza
Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-based stocks.
These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.
It has all the big names and more.
It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that which you can check out here.
The Hall of Famers is simple.
We take our list of 100 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.
Let’s take a look at some of them now.
When to Feed the Ducks
From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley
The best opportunities are the ones with the most clearly defined risk characteristics and most favorable risk/rewards.
This summer, Minneapolis Spring Wheat was offering us a trade set-up with both these qualities. Price had just resolved higher from a near decade-long base and was trading at its highest level in 8 years. We were buying the breakout.
Fast forward to today and our initial profit target has been met and we’re locking in gains.
In today’s post, we’ll take a step back, review our trade, pinpoint current levels of interest, and discuss how we’re managing the position moving forward. [Read more…]
Looking For Commodity Exposure?
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley
The outperformance from commodities this year has been hard to ignore.
Over the trailing 52 weeks, the CRB index is up over 56% and our equal-weight commodity index is up over 37%. The entire space has been participating — energy, base metals, grains, and softs.
And even though precious metals have been trending lower since last summer, we can’t forget that gold kicked off the commodities rally by hitting new all-time highs last year.
If we’re only looking at stocks and bonds we’re cutting ourselves off from what is currently the top-performing asset class. It doesn’t matter whether we trade the markets on a more tactical timeframe or if we have a long-term investing approach. There is alpha in commodities right now and we want to have exposure.
But how do we take advantage of this space if we don’t have the ability to buy December futures contracts of Crude Oil or the March ‘22 futures contracts of Corn?
That’s where our commodity ETF/ETN list comes into play.
[Options Premium] Cycling Down in Stereo?
I’m already groaning at the Dad Pun I’m trying to pull off here with this post’s title.
The team put out a new The Short Report highlighting stocks that are ripe for getting short. Yes, we might be in a bull market, but its a “market of stocks” and if you look hard enough, you can always find stocks going in either direction, regardless of the macro market environment.
And the idea from the report that stands out best to me is now the victim of my bad pun. [Read more…]
Breakouts and Breadth Expansion
From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Grant Hawkridge @granthawkridge
Last week, we pointed out some mixed signals in our breadth indicators.
Despite the new highs from almost all the large-cap major averages, we had yet to see new highs in their corresponding advance-decline lines.
We also hadn’t experienced the kind of expansion in participation that we’d expect to accompany the indexes to new price highs.
Our new high indicators were still muted, even on shorter timeframes.
But that was last week. This week, mid-caps and small-caps have joined their large-cap peers at new record highs after making decisive upside resolutions from their year-to-date ranges.
And guess what? We’re finally getting that breadth confirmation we were missing.
Let’s talk about it.
The Short Report (11-04-2021)
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza
When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as a market of stocks.
Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.
We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions… but there are always stocks that are going up.
The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too.
We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club. We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics.
Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via multiple reports. But we don’t highlight lagging stocks on a recurring basis.
Until now…
Sit On Your Hands Season
If we’re truly entering into a new crypto bull market, trend-following strategies are the only game in town.
Forget all the rotations taking place because we’re entering into the “sit on your hands season.”
Overtrading and getting cute is going to be punished, while just sitting on quality coins is likely to be rewarded.
Less trading.
More conviction.
Sit on your hands.
I think that’s the play for crypto in the coming months, assuming the bull market is just getting started.
We’re talking names like Solana, Avalanche, Luna, Algorand, Elrond, Fantom, Axie among a handful of others as well as the majors like Bitcoin and Ethereum.
Keep it simple, and hold spot.
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