While the stock market continues to digest its recent run and weave through this sideways consolidation, we're starting to get some pretty clear hints on which stocks will likely be leaders if/when the bull market resumes.
Today's trade is an early bullish bet on one of those names.
Ok, that's a stupid question but I'm out of pithy headlines.
When the market more or less is only offering you one style of options trade that makes sense in this environment, things might get a bit monotonous around here. And when that happens, my brain offers up 'dad joke'-level headlines :)
But there's nothing boring about making money and our delta-neutral credit spread trades continue to work. So we're continuing with them with today's trade.
The hunt for premium selling opportunities continues. And today's trade is in a name that is heavily weighted in the Home Construction sector ETF, where options premiums -- sector-wide -- are a bit more elevated than the rest.
Thankfully, October options expiration happens the week before this company releases its next quarterly earnings report, so we don't have any of that event risk to worry about.
But this isn't really about Philip and his cancer sticks.
Instead, I'm going to sell premium in his Philip Morris stock options, betting on the company going nowhere for at least the next month.
First up, look at this chart:
We can clearly see the range contracting all year in $PM. Given what the broader stock market is doing, my bet is this range contraction continues.
Now the wrinkle we have to deal with is that Philip Morris is slated to release their next quarterly earnings statement on October 19, which is ONE DAY before October monthly options expire! That makes it tricky to be selling premium in the regular monthly options.
But the good news is, we can select the October 13 WEEKLY expiration options to express our trade.
We're adding another bullish leg to an existing position we already have on the books in Google.
In early May, we purchased December 120 calls that have performed nicely for us. In fact, we already sold half of our position and are #FreeRiding on the remaining portion of that initial trade. We can't lose!
Given the price action and relative strength we've seen in $GOOG this summer, we're ready to put on another fresh position to take advantage of even more upside.
As I mentioned last week, we're in an environment where we want to be collecting delta-neutral options premium. Unfortunately, we can either pick instruments that are in well-defined ranges or we can sell high implied volatility, but it's getting increasingly hard to find both.
With this in mind, today's trade is in an instrument where options pricing may not be as elevated as it was earlier in the year, but it's still giving us a lot of room to be wrong.
Today's trade was crowdsourced in the All Star Options Telegram chat. Thanks to those of you who brainstormed with me.
As you know, I'm on the hunt for rangebound instruments to sell delta-neutral premiums in. The problem is -- it's getting harder to find charts that check all the boxes. I find myself having to make compromises. I can either find good premiums (often at the risk of an earnings event on the horizon), or I can find a stock in a good range. But it's getting harder to find both.
At the risk of sounding like a broken record, I'm continuing my theme of the past week of looking for opportunities to sell premium in mostly delta-neutral options trades.
"Delta-neutral" basically means I'm looking to collect income in sideways consolidations while the broader markets sort out this current correction.
Not only is this a good tactical bet for sideways, sloppy, and messy markets, but it also provides nice portfolio diversification if you have a book of long positions like I do.
We've got a well-known mega-cap stock to use as our vehicle today, so let's get to it.
As I and the team have discussed on The Morning Show and this week's Options Jam Session, I'm on the hunt for opportunities to sell delta-neutral option premium with $VIX exploring higher levels than we've seen in recent months.
Today's trade is in a sector ETF exhibiting elevated options premiums and signs for extended rangebound action.
And October options are offering us enough premiums to trade strikes sufficiently far away from current action, beyond significant support and resistance levels.
As far as setups for delta-neutral premium collection go, this one checks all the boxes.
As is common when the stock market is moving lower, we're seeing rising options premiums. We aren't seeing any big volatility spikes yet, and $VIX is still relatively muted, but the recent rise coupled with setups that appear to be ripe for some sideways action in the coming weeks and months has me on the hunt for delta-neutral premium selling opportunities.
Today's trade is in a metals and materials stock that appears to be stuck in a year-long range that we're betting on continuing.
Check out this chart of Freeport McMoran $FCX for a visual of what we're seeing: