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[Options] Putting Time on Our Side

April 1, 2024

Steve Strazza brought up charts of the energy, materials, and commodities sectors on today's Flow Show. These are "peer indexes," meaning they often trend together.

And the current trends suggest we need to add more bullish positions in these areas.

The one name that stood out the most was Freeport McMoRan $FCX:

But given the run we've already seen here, we need to allow for the possibility of some digestion which may put a governor on the speed on any breakouts from here.

To position ourselves for this possibility, we're going to utilize a Call Calendar spread.

Here's the Play:

[Options] There Could Be a Lot of Juice in This Squeeze

March 25, 2024

We're getting into Squeeze Season.

The stock market (as measured by the indexes) continues to trek higher, speculative fervor keeps building (as measured by what's happening in crypto), and these forces are combining to make it a dangerous environment to be caught short in.

And if you're short a name that already has a high short interest? Look out!

So naturally, today's trade is a play on punishing the stubborn shorts in a particular stock that look like they are on the verge of getting epically squeezed.

In today's Flow Show on Stock Market TV, me and Strazza get into why we love buying short-dated calls in Carvana $CVNA:

And here's the chart that we are leaning into:

Here's the Play:

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[Options Premium] This Hundred-Dolla-Roll Might Happen Fast

March 22, 2024

Today's trade comes in a wholesale distributor of industrial and construction supplies. Sexy, right?

Ok, maybe not. But the fact that the stock has been in a steady uptrend since November, is making new all-time highs, and has a "hundred-dolla-roll" in its sight certainly makes it very attractive to me.

 

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[Options Premium] Fade the Street

March 20, 2024

Today's trade is in a name that doesn't need Wall Street.

They crush their little corner of the world, operating in the midwest. They do not need to raise money or any exotic financing. Because of this, the company is completely off Wall Street's radar. This means very few (if any?) analysts cover it. Nobody is publishing research reports on it. Essentially, there just isn't anyone talking about it.

Around here, we call these "Eddy Elfenbein stocks." Stocks that are steady dividend payers, operating excellently in obscurity, providing a product or service that so many people use that they don't even realize they are using it.

[Options] Reliance

March 18, 2024

On today's Flow Show, me and Steve Strazza put our heads together to follow the wave into the Steel sector.

Sector trends are showing us where capital is flowing and that led us to a trade idea in steel manufacturing company Reliance Inc $RS.

Here's the chart highlighting a high consolidation that often portends to rapid near term price acceleration:

For those of us who are comfortable with risking higher dollar amounts in trades, I'd be a straight buyer of the September 350 calls.

But I prefer keeping my costs a little lower per unit of risk, so I'll be employing a call spread here to express our bullish opinion.

Here's the Play:

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[Options Premium] I Don't Have Enough Exposure to Gold

March 15, 2024

So we're going to fix that.

And here's why:

It’s the perfect environment to buy mining stocks following gold’s breakout.

The plan is simple: Buy the strongest names on absolute and relative terms – if and when they trade above our risk levels.

That is from my Commodities Analyst Ian Cully in a recent post about the Gold sector.

Today's trade is in a mining name that is above the risk levels, signaling its time to get involved.

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[Options Premium] Getting Some REAL Exposure

March 13, 2024

One sector that I feel a bit underexposed to right now is real estate -- particularly REITs. And when a dominant player in New York City's commercial real estate sector pops up in our scans with a beautiful chart, it feels to me like this one might be set to surprise a lot of people.

[Options] Buy the Biotech Sector

March 11, 2024

Steve Strazza and I hosted another Flow Show today on Stock Market TV and discussed opportunities in the Biotech space.

Starting at an index level, we see that biotechs are clearing a base and appear set on breaking out:

From there, we started diving into some individual biotech names to play the breakout, but many of the charts offered unique challenges that made it tricky to pick one to take the most advantage or the sector breakout.

So when that happens, sometimes the best move is simply to buy the index!

And that's what we're going to do here, using the sector ETF $XBI as a vehicle for expressing our bet.

Here's the Play:

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[Options Premium] Dashing For the Door

March 8, 2024

Today's trade is a bet on the speculative juices continuing to flow through the summer. This stock has been performing fantastically since the November stock market explosion, but if we're a believer that this stock is simply tracing out the right side of a larger base, then we've still got plenty of upside to go.

Here's a chart of DoorDash $DASH: