I'm mindful that coming into this afternoon's Fed meeting lots can change following whatever is said after 2pm ET.
That said, there's a pretty compelling opportunity to sell some premium in the gold space, at strikes that are comfortably far away, increasing our odds of success.
In today's Flow Show, Steve Strazza laid out the case of how both the Nasdaq 100 and Chinese tech stocks (particularly Chinese internet) might be signaling an important rise in speculative appetite which could fuel the next bull run.
Of the names Steve shared, the one that made the most sense to me was JD.com $JD. Check out this chart:
We're looking at the past year in $JD and it feels to us that if this motor gets running, we could target the low 40's with a good thrust which would be new 52-week highs.
Knowing that we might come into some overhead supply at those levels which could check the rise, and also knowing that upside call options are currently sporting some rich premiums, we're going to put both of these observations to our advantage by utilizing a bull call spread.
I came into today's Flow Show not having much of an appetite for any aggressively bullish bets. But by the show's end, I'm putting on a straight gamble! How the hell did that happen? Watch the video above to find out.
The chart and setup that piqued my interest is this one in Riot Platforms $RIOT:
Now that the Bitcoin "halving" is out of the way, will the prior RIOT/Bitcoin correlation that was strong until the last three-ish months reassert itself?
And if it does, will $RIOT catch up to Bitcoin? Or will Bitcoin catch down to $RIOT?
Judging by the basing action we've witnessed in Bitcoin in recent weeks, I think the next big move is higher. And if $RIOT "catches up"? It could be a monster winner in a hurry.
Bonus kicker: Riot Platforms announces earnings on May 8th. That could be the big push we need.
Berkshire Hathaway stock $BRK/B has traded down for eleven of the past thirteen trading days. That's not something you see often.
Call me sentimental, but watching implied volatility in Berkshire options creep up to its highest levels of the year feels like a gift to naked put sellers. So I'm going to take advantage.
In today's Flow Show, me and Steve Strazza took a look at some potential directional bets, but we both agreed that the right trade for today is one that would benefit from some sideways trading action.
With the broader markets looking a bit indecisive here, making a strong directional bet (in either direction) feels like a high-risk proposition. But there's a big cap name currently stuck in a range that is offering us nice options premiums to bet on further sideways action. We'll likely have to hold through an earnings event to earn our profit, but with a defined risk and a large margin for error, I like our chances.
We're looking abroad for today's trade in a company involved in the manufacturing and sale of connectivity and sensor solutions.
The stock is breaking out of a multi-year base and it offers us a nearby risk management level to keep our stop tight which means the potential for nice gains versus a smaller risk of loss.
Traders have made a lot of noise about the recent correction in Apple. And yes, the selloff has been large (for Apple).
But with daily trading volumes beginning to wane, it feels to me that the run has begun to exhaust itself and bears will have one more last-ditch opportunity with earnings on the horizon.
Barring something unusual, I think there will be something to disappoint both bears and bulls alike, amounting to a whole lot of nothing. Which sets up the perfect time for a sideways bet.
In today's Flow Show, me and Steve Strazza came out swinging with an opportunity to add to an already winning options trade.
Back in late January, we entered into a bullish longer-term bet in Wells Fargo $WFC. You can read about it here. That original position still has until January 2025 to play out (another nine months).
But take a look at this high & tight flag forming on the eve on their next earning release scheduled for this Friday morning:
To us, this screams an opportunity for an upside resolution happening with the earning report being the catalyst.
Looking into the monthly May expiration options, premiums are not bad for a play targeting a measured move to the $70 area.
The energy sector is looking poised to break into uncharted territory, and we too are going to break some new ground by doing an options trade we've never done before in ASO.
Calling it a "trade" might even feel a little off, considering the timeframe of this one. It might be more accurate to call it an investment. Compared to most trades we do, this one has the potential to certainly feel like one.