[10/19/23 Update: moved stop to 125]

If stock markets are about to recover and start another leg higher back towards all-time highs, I have a hard time imagining a scenario where Google (Alphabet) $GOOG doesn't at least retake last summer's highs north of $123 per share.

Call me crazy, but that's where my head's at.

Take a look at the coil that $GOOGL is working through right now:

The $GOOGL and $GOOG charts look the same. It's confusing and annoying that they have two shares classes (the "L" shares come with voting rights, the others do not).

The GOOG options have more open interest and volume, so that's where we will put on our trade.

As we're starting to get the latest round of earnings reports into the rear-view mirror, we're getting some clarity on the next crop of leaders for a potential move higher in the stock market.

Today's trade is on an emerging leader in the Defense sector that positions us very offensively for the next move up.

Let's get to it!

The next new position in our Paid-to-Play portfolio is:

In an effort to provide some much-needed portfolio diversification, I'm adding a delta-neutral credit spread to the mix.

There aren't a whole lot of juicy premiums out there (thank you plummeting $VIX!), but there is an ETF in a sector that looks set up for some sideways digestion over the near term that should play nice with a short Strangle.

P.S. We do trades like this regularly. If you'd like to leverage Best-in-Class technical analysis into smarter directional options trades, try out All Star Options Risk Free! Or give us a call to learn more: 323-421-7991.

Finally, a setup I love that has earnings out of the way! There's light at the end of the tunnel. And no surprise I find this setup in a strong sector that wants to lead the market higher.

We're going to leverage some cheap options to position for a breakout to 52-week highs in this big cap name.

For a swing trader like me, earnings season is always tough. I often find myself in a situation where my favorite setups have a looming earnings release on the nearby horizon, introducing binary risks that make me uncomfortable.

And this season is no different. All of my favorite setups right now are fraught with earnings risk.

But I've found one opportunity where a pending earnings release may actually benefit us, allowing us to get positioned at attractive prices for a post-earnings run.

My man Steve Strazza's reaction to this trade idea: "Yes! Bios have got some catch-up to play!"

I concur.

Though, I think we've got some overhead resistance that may slow the roll heading into summer. But that's ok -- we can use that to our advantage with a calendar spread.

There are some big cap software stocks on the verge of resolving out of beautiful bases to the upside. Of course, we have to be on the ball to avoid earnings landmines as it's that time of the year.

That said, my favorite chart among these big caps that still has breathing room in it (about six weeks) before we have to deal with their next earnings report is Salesforce $CRM.

Check out this chart:

Did you know Motorola has been around since long before the cellular phone?

In the late 90's and early 2000's, Motorola was one of the go-to cell phone manufacturers. I owned several, personally. To this day, I still maintain that I've never had a clearer signal with zero audio delay than I did with my Motorola StarTac phone circa 2001.

This all came up this morning when internally, while discussing the setup in the $MSI stock, we were all kind of surprised that Motorola, based in Chicago, is a one-hundred year old company! Wow.

Clearly, this is a company that has gone through many pivots to lead new technology development.

Of more immediate concern to us options traders is we've got two potential catalysts that can drive some quick gains for us.

[9/21: moved stop to 88]

Fair warning: today's trade is in a company that will be reporting earnings early next week. I generally try to avoid entering trades ahead of earnings. But its that time of the season where its kinda hard to avoid earnings. They are happening. We just have to deal with it.

That said, we'll control what we can control: The amount of risk we take, and our time duration for the position to recover, if needed.

I recently came across a video on youtube from a very smart man – whom I respect and have had several favorable interactions with – that made me shake my head.

But before I throw any shade on any other professional colleague, let me be the first to say that I’m no genius. My shit stinks too, and I’m sure I’m equally guilty of throwing questionable ideas or thoughts out into the metaverse from time to time. I’m human, just like everyone else.

So here’s what got me rankled.

The video had a catchy title like: “How I made fourteen hundred dollars in one day trading 0-DTE options.”

Ok. I’m interested. I like to make that kinda money each trading day. Tell me more!

The short video went on to demonstrate how this trader sold a slightly out-of-the-money naked put in $SPX options expiring that same day – a day in which SPX rallied from start to finish making the put expire worthless. This allowed the trader to keep the $1400 he collected from selling that one put contract short near the open of trading that day. That’s pure profit, baby!

Cool. Great trade!

But here’s the thing. Actually, here are several things…

We kicked around a few ideas in this morning's Analyst meeting and the one thing that stood out to me is that I do not currently have any long exposure to the healthcare sector --- one of the strongest sectors out there.

That changes today.

We're going to get long a familiar name in the space, but we're going to do it carefully with a defined risk spread because we've got earnings coming up soon. So we'll go for a longer-duration trade and bet on earnings to be a catalyst for higher prices.