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[Chart of The Week] The Coming EUR/INR Breakout Retest

August 12, 2020

There has been a lot of action in the Commodity, Currency, and Fixed Income space over the last few months and we've been taking advantage.

Yesterday we spoke about the intermarket signals we're deriving from Interest Rates and last week we spoke about what we were seeing in the Gold/Silver and Natural Gas Markets.

Today, we want to take a look at a key retest that's about to occur in Euro/Rupee and revisit a few setups we've spoken about in the past that are approaching actionable levels.

Here's the Euro/Rupee post that sparked the need for this post. Two weeks ago we wrote about the notable breakout here (and breakdown in Rupees), but the Euro was the only pair to see any follow-through. Now that prices are pulling back, we want to see if this coming breakout retest is successful.

Click on chart to enlarge view. 

The Most Important Charts In EM

August 12, 2020

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

When owning an ETF, it's important to understand how it's constructed. In other words, you need to know what you own.

When it comes to the Emerging Markets ETF $EEM, you're essentially betting on Asia as ~72% of its holdings are from China, Taiwan, South Korea, and India.

Some might say these are the most important charts in Emerging Markets...so let's take a look.

Why Bonds Are Piquing Our Interest

August 12, 2020

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

I wrote this post for our Indian subscribers, but given it's discussing Interest Rates and their effect on Equities as an asset class I thought it was worthwhile to share it with you all as well.

We've written about the rotation that's underway here, here, and a lot of other places, but this post helps tie it all together with the recent action in Bonds.

I hope you find it helpful.

Small/Mid-Cap Stocks With Significant Upside Potential

August 10, 2020

In June we outlined a thesis for the Mid and Small-Cap segment of the market to begin outperforming in a meaningful way. In that post, we outlined a number of stocks we were buying to take advantage of that theme, but many are well on their way to their upside objectives already.

Today we want to follow up on that theme, show why it's still intact, and outline stocks with an attractive reward/risk at current levels.

We've written extensively about what the Large-Cap/Small-Cap ratio means and how we interpret it. If you haven't read them, I'd highly recommend checking them out before continuing with this post (June 9th post and June 19th post)

But, to sum it up the idea here is that Small-Cap outperformance is associated with a Bull Market in Indian Equities because it signifies risk appetite among market participants and a broad-based market rally that has sufficient participation from sectors/industry groups.

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Playing The Natural Gas Bull Market

August 8, 2020

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

Precious Metals are getting all of the Commodity attention these days, but the truth is there is a lot more opportunity in the space than just Metals.

In this post, I want to outline why we think Natural Gas is in a new bull market and how we're taking advantage of it.

Here's the weekly chart of Natural Gas we've been using as a roadmap for the last few years. In March, prices approached long-term support near 1.60 and volatility began to pick up, signaling to us that a trend change was potentially underway. And on top of that, momentum failed to get oversold which suggested sellers were getting exhausted.

Click on chart to enlarge view.

Checking In On Gold & Silver

August 8, 2020

Strength in Precious Metals has been a theme we've been taking advantage of since Gold's breakout in June 2019.

Now that prices have skyrocketed over the last few weeks, many are asking, what's next for these shiny assets?

In this post, we're going to walk through our past analysis, review our targets, and outline how we're approaching these Metals going forward.

Since we received great feedback on our Reliance post format, we're going to approach this the same way.

[Video] "What The FICC?" - Bruni's New Weekly Show

August 7, 2020

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

The Fixed Income, Commodity, and Currency markets are near and dear to my heart. Ever since I began learning Technical Analysis, I've always loved analyzing things that are "off the beaten path." This included everything from Interest Rates to Soybeans to the Norwegian Krone. Equities are great and all, but this is the stuff that gets me up in the morning.

In addition to the blog posts we do on the site, I've wanted to explore new ways to share that passion with you all and show why even if you're not investing in these markets directly, they're worth paying attention to.

That brings us to my new weekly show, "What The FICC?"

In this weekly video series, I'll be highlighting the most important chart or theme from these three asset classes while doing my best to tie that analysis back to Equities through an intermarket signal or a trade idea.

The first two pilot episodes are linked down below. I hope you enjoy them and look forward to seeing you all back here each week for a new episode!

[Chart of The Week] Natural Gas Strength Continues

August 6, 2020

There has been a lot of opportunity in Commodities lately, particularly in Precious Metals and Base Metals, after years of nothing.

Today we want to highlight the strength in Natural Gas, a theme we've been pointing to most of this year but that's now accelerating.

Let's take a look at what's happening and how we can take advantage of it.

Here's the chart we were using as our roadmap at the beginning of the year as prices approached long-term support near 115. Additionally, we were seeing momentum stay out of oversold territory, signaling that sellers were unable to stay aggressive and take prices to new lows.

Click on chart to enlarge view. 

Nifty Metal Index Breaks Out!

August 5, 2020

We've been selectively participating in a few Steel stocks over the last few months as we waited for a signal to get more aggressive in the space.

Yesterday we got that signal as the Nifty Metal Index broke out to new recovery highs and reclaimed support on a relative basis.

In this post, we're going to outline what we're seeing in the sector and what we're buying to take advantage of this theme.

First, let's start with Base Metals (read for context), which continue to trend higher along with Precious Metals. In July when we were talking about them, we were staying very selective in the Nifty Metal space because it hadn't yet broken out despite the strength in Commodities.