In June we outlined that the "Reflation Trade" indicators we track had picked up significantly after reaching levels of long-term support in March.
Since then that thesis has played out and we've been taking advantage of it in Metals, cyclical stock market sectors like Materials and Industrials, and even Agricultural Commodities which managed to break out.
But...after a nice run many of these assets and intermarket relationships have pulled back over the last month or so...begging the question "is the reflation thesis over?"
Luckily for us, we only need one chart to discuss what's happening and how we're approaching it.
This week we got another one, with a failed breakout in the Nifty Small-Cap Index. Let's take a look at what has happened, what it means, and how we're approaching it.
Here's the Nifty Small-Cap 100 Index chart we shared with members in our Sunday evening post discussing three charts for the week ahead. What we noted was that it was the only major nifty index to make new marginal highs last week, while the Nifty 50, Nifty, Nifty Next 50, and Mid-Cap 100 all made lower highs.
We retired our "Five Bull Market Barometers" in mid-July to make room for a new weekly post that's focused on the three most important charts for the week ahead.
This is that post, so let's jump into this week's edition.
In yesterday's Members-Only Conference Call, we outlined our view on Precious Metals and provided several new trade ideas in the space.
All of the Miners we looked at were US-listed, so today I want to look to those listed on the TSX to outline which have the best reward/risk at current levels.
We retired our "Five Bull Market Barometers" in mid-July to make room for a new weekly post that's focused on the three most important charts for the week ahead.
This is that post, so let's jump into this week's edition.
The Top/Down approach to markets is at the core of what we do at All Star Charts. That means starting at the asset class level and peeling back each layer to refine our view of the smaller components that make up that asset class. With each new layer, we discover information that helps us form our weight of the evidence conclusion.
That brings us to our weekly column, The Top/Down Take, where we hope to educate readers on how we execute this process and highlight its value through the analysis of popular stocks.