From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

We've been waiting patiently for Treasuries and other Sovereign Debt to make a move after flatlining since April.

Yesterday JC pointed out that US Rates made new all-time monthly closing lows, so let's take a look and identify how we need to be responding.

Premium Members can access all of July Monthly Candles in our Chartbook, but in this post, we want to outline a few of the ones that stood out to us across the Equity, Currency, and Commodities space.

In September we'll be starting a new Live Monthly Conference Call at the beginning each month to review the most prominent monthly candlesticks charts from across the globe.

For those unfamiliar with our process, we use Monthly Candlesticks to tune out the daily/weekly noise and focus on the long-term trends in the market. It is one of the most invaluable parts of our process, by far.

As a preview of this new conference call format, I've recorded a quick video highlighting some charts that stood out for us in July.

Hope you enjoy!

Yesterday we discussed some of the potential headwinds for Crude Oil, Copper, and other risk assets.

After doing my International Chartbook review over the weekend, I wanted to share some of the things we're seeing and what it means for Equities as an asset class.

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

Friday afternoon we discussed some of the potential headwinds for Crude Oil, Copper, and other risk assets.

After doing my International Chartbook review over the weekend, I wanted to share some of the things we're seeing and what it means for Equities as an asset class.

We've outlined some headwinds for stocks in this week's "Three Charts For The Week Ahead", so this week we're looking for a short setup in a struggling sector.

We retired our "Five Bull Market Barometers" in mid-July to make room for a new weekly post that's focused on the three most important charts for the week ahead.

This is that post, so let's jump into this week's edition.

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

My tweet this morning got some traction, so I figured I'd think out loud and give you some things to think about over the weekend.

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

Thanks to everyone who participated in this week's Mystery Chart.

Most were looking at this as a potential inflection point and waiting for more info, so let's get into what it was and what our interpretation is.

I know it's a Technical Analysis no-no to be looking at weekly candlesticks before they're complete, but there's something happening in the Rupee that we need to be paying attention to.

One of our favorite ways of looking at a sector or industry group is by using equally-weighted charts.

A lot of "Home TV" stocks have been on the move, so we're going to take a look at what's happening and determine what's next for the group.

First, let's take a look at our equally-weighted custom index of Den Networks, Hathway Cable, Sun TV Network, TV18Broadcast, and Zee Entertainment. Prices did break down to new all-time lows during the March decline, but quickly reversed and took out the downtrend line from their 2018 highs. Now, prices are testing former support/resistance with momentum diverging negatively, suggesting a near-term pause is likely.

Click on chart to enlarge view. 

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

If you ask people what it would take for Small-Caps to begin outperforming you'll get a variety of answers. We need Financials to outperform. We need a weak US Dollar. We need a steeper yield curve. We need the moon to be in a waxing crescent. We need a miracle.

You'll have a lot of answers and a whole lot more confusion.

So in this post, we want to keep it simple and identify the two charts we're using to identify a sustainable turn in Small-Cap relative performance.