This is the video recording of our March 23, 2022, Inside Scoop Weekly Strategy Session.
GameStop Insider “Puts His Money Where His Mouth Is”
There are a handful of interesting Form 4 filings on today’s list.
One name that stands out is the popular meme stock GameStop $GME.
March Conference Call: 5 Key Takeaways
Monday night we held our March Monthly Conference Call, which Premium Members can access and re-watch here.
In this post, we’ll summarize it by highlighting five of the most important charts and/or themes we covered, along with commentary on each.
Let’s get right into it!
Aussie Rules!
From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @IanCulley
The unwind is on in the aussie!
After accumulating a historic net-long position last fall, commercial hedgers are scrambling to cover. Over the past four weeks, the smart money has trimmed its long exposure to roughly half of what it was.
This is reflected in our most recent Commitment of Traders Heatmap, which you can view here.
When positioning flips at extremes – like we’re seeing now in the Australian dollar – we want to look for opportunities to ride the emerging trend. In other words, we want to bet in the direction that commercial hedgers are currently unwinding away from.
In the case of AUD, they recently had a historic net long position. As such, we’re looking for bullish technical characteristics to see if a long setup makes sense here.
It just so happens that things are really coming together for the aussie chart lately. We love when technicals and sentiment line up like this.
Options Traders Fade the Tech Bounce
Today’s Hot List is a short one.
As the market takes a pause following four straight up days, options traders are using puts to fade the bounce in UP Fintech Holdings $TIGR and HP $HPQ.
Follow the Flow (03-21-2022)
From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza
This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow.
In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish… but NOT both.
We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.
Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.
We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades.
What remains is a list of stocks that large financial institutions are putting big money behind… and they’re doing so for one reason only: because they think the stock is about to move in their direction and make them a pretty penny.
Then we flip through our list of stocks flashing unusual activity and pick the best setups using many of the same technical filters we do for our other scans.
And, just like that, we’ll follow the money flow and fatten our own pockets along with some of the world’s most powerful financial institutions.
Under the Hood (03-21-2022)
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.
Welcome back to our latest Under the Hood column, where we’ll cover all the action for the week ended March 18, 2022. This report is published bi-weekly and rotated with our Minor Leaguers column.
What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.
We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.
There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.
Watch this video for a behind-the-scenes look at our process.
Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases, unusual options activity, or simply our proprietary lists of trending tickers, there’s a lot of overlap.
[PLUS] Weekly Top 10 Report
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza
Our Top 10 Charts Report was just published.
In this weekly note, we highlight 10 of the most important charts or themes we’re currently seeing in asset classes around the world.
A Reversal In Risk
Not only are the most battered areas of the market digging in at logical levels of support and resolving higher, so is high-yield debt relative to Treasuries (HYG/IEI). This crucial ratio is an inverse illustration of credit spreads as we’re comparing the bond prices instead of the yields. HYG/IEI putting in a potential failed breakdown and resolving higher speaks to a reprieve in market stress and bodes well for risk assets. It’s no coincidence that we’re seeing similar action at the index level as the S&P 500 is back above its January lows. Bulls want to see this ratio catch higher in the coming weeks as this would support a tradable low and fresh rally for stocks as risk-seeking behavior re-enters the market. There is still some work to do, but we’re moving in the right direction.
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