What’s on your mind these days?
I’ll tell you what I’m thinking about.
I’m used to a market where stocks struggle when the US Dollar are US rates are rising. And that’s what we’ve seen all year.
And while the data certainly points to a market of stocks that have been grinding mostly sideways over the past few months, stocks haven’t done nearly as bad as you’d think, considering just how strong the Dollar has been and how much rates have risen.
So the question for me is whether these consolidations are going to resolve higher or lower?
And what the implications might be….
A lower resolution here could be a massive tailwind for stocks.
Remember, during Election years, the market tends to bottom in May ahead of a very strong summer, particularly when there is an incumbent candidate.
If these resolutions are, in fact, to the downside, then that’s exactly what I would expect to see happen: [Read more…]