Monday was our Members-Only Conference Call for both India and the US (see JC’s video here) and the most overwhelming theme was that Equities are not trending, so what does that mean for us as market participants?
India Index Reconstitution Summary
Twice a year the Nifty Indexes are reconstituted on March 31 and September 30, replacing stocks that don’t fit the criteria with those that do. This past weekend we adjusted our chartbooks to reflect the changes that occurred at the end of the first quarter, so I wanted to write a quick post detailing some of the changes.
[Premium India] Monthly Conference Call Video Recording May 2019
This is the recording from the live May 2019 Conference Call for Members of the Allstarcharts India! Before getting into individual stock ideas in India, we’re going to first start with the global macro perspective. Once we identify the direction of the underlying trends from a structural and broader view, then we’ll dive into the NIFTY Indexes on both longer-term and short-term timeframe. We want to look at Large-caps, Small-caps and everything in between before getting into the Sector and Industries themselves like Energy, Banks and Pharma.
This is when we finally break things down to the individual stock scenario with identified risk vs reward opportunities. That is what this is all about – aligning ourselves in the direction of the underlying trend while at the same time identifying where the risk is to make sure the potential reward is skewed exponentially in our favor. You will find that throughout this process we discuss Momentum, Fibonacci and Relative Strength. I encourage you to check out the Education Section so you know exactly where I’m coming from when you hear me mention these tools.
Here is the video in full:
Potential Mean-Reversion Opportunities
When trading against the primary trend, there are a few things we look for to define our risk and raise our probability of success.
[Read more…]
[Premium] Analyzing The Pharma Sector’s Health
The Pharma Sector had been improving from a structural perspective, but recent action and breadth may be suggesting the space is falling ill again.
Let’s examine the evidence.
Different Month, Same Issue
Last month price finally confirmed many of the divergences we were seeing under the surface and stocks began to correct…yet the Nifty 50 is sitting just shy of its all-time high.
What gives?
[Premium] April Monthly Candles
Yesterday we got new Monthly Candlesticks, so this post will outline a few of the major changes since last month. [Read more…]
What The Havells’ Up With Consumer Goods?
Excuse my play on words in the title, but I wanted to make the point that at 13% of the Nifty 500, the Fast Moving Consumer Goods Index is a big part of the bull case for Indian stocks.
We’ve talked about weak participation in this sector and since then it’s deteriorated further as opposed to getting better.
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