Technical analysts often say, “From compression comes expansion.”

In other words, as markets become more coiled, buyers or sellers are ultimately forced to front up. This period of shrinking volatility is often met with violent unwinds – in either direction.

So when we see these periods of notable reductions in volatility, pay attention because the resolution often sets the tone for weeks and months to come.

Just take a look at how tight the Bollinger Bands have become in Bitcoin:

Through this measure, volatility is at its lowest point since October last year…

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In an asset class where 80% drawdowns are a regular occurrence, it goes without saying you need to manage your damn risk.

By simply identifying a level where you get out of the trade, you are at a substantial competitive advantage, in this asset class more than any other.

There should be no shame in flipping your approach as new data comes in. At our shop, we pride ourselves on it.

But to the crypto junkies and laser eyes crowd, that’ll get you called a “FUD’ster” or “paper hands”.

Don’t listen to these people.

They’re truly worse than the gold bugs and permabears. They don’t deserve your attention.

With any market, not just crypto, our primary goal is to make money. And to do that, in more cases than not, we have to play defense. It’s what we’re doing in stocks right now – it’s just a regular part of putting money to work.

As for us, we’ve been bullish Bitcoin, and have been riding many coins higher. [Read more…]

Money flows to where it’s treated best.

In the case of crypto, it’s recently been the Altcoins.

Yesterday, we published a bullish note on the DeFi space, and throughout the last few weeks, we’ve been bullish on smaller coins down the cap scale.

When you dive under the surface and look beyond Bitcoin, there’s some serious strength.

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The market will always have the final say.

This is the beauty of technical analysis: there’s no problem in flipping our approach as new data comes in.

While the wheels were coming off in May, DeFi was the definitive laggard.

But that’s changing.

The sector looks to be gaining traction on both absolute and relative terms.

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It takes time to learn the intricacies of a topic.

For those who’ve spent a good deal of their career working with other asset classes, the lingo that youngsters throw around while discussing their favorite crypto projects can be daunting.

There are dozens of indicators you’ve likely never seen.

People are sharing charts where you may not even know what’s going on.

And there’s arguably more noise to deal with in this space, more so than any other group of assets.

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You guys see that massive spike in inflows of Tether into exchanges?

Exchanges just saw their 3rd largest inflow of Tether of all time (and by all time, we mean a few years – this is Crypto we’re talking about).

The thought process here is that if people are transferring their Tether into exchanges, they’re getting ready to load up on these crypto-assets, driving prices higher.

The last time an inflow of this magnitude took place, Bitcoin nearly doubled in a matter of weeks.

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