From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley
We study a wide variety of sentiment data as we incorporate many different indicators into our day-to-day analysis.
In its simplest form, sentiment tells us how certain market participants or investors feel about the market.
Are investors feeling bullish and increasing their exposure to risk?
Or, are investors feeling fearful and positioning defensively?
More often than not, these are contrarian indicators that work best when at extremes.
One of our favorite sets of sentiment data comes from a weekly report published by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. It is called the Commitment Of Traders, or COT report, and it simply outlines how various participants are positioned in futures markets.
We get lots of questions regarding how we analyze the COT report, so let’s talk about two of the main ways we find value in this information.