In early May we outlined the "Five Bull Market Barometers" we're watching to identify the beginning of a new bull market in stocks.
If you haven't read our initial post linked above, we'd encourage you to check it out so you understand what the rationale behind these five indicators is.
Now, let's see where we stand after another strong week in the market.
Contrary to popular belief, Small and Mid-Cap stocks do not always provide better returns than Large-Cap stocks.
In academia, the thesis is that these "riskier" Small and Mid-Cap stocks should provide a higher potential return than more mature "Large-Cap" stocks. If they didn't, then rational investors would not own them because they're not being adequately compensated for the risk they're taking.
In the real world, we know that this theory is absolute nonsense. Instead of the consistent outperformance from the SMID (Small/Mid-Cap) segment of the market, we see periods of outperformance, periods of in-line performance, and performance of underperformance.
Since 2018 the SMID market-cap segments have been absolutely clobbered, but the weight of the evidence is suggesting that we may be at a major inflection point and SMID stocks are beginning a period of long-term outperformance.
Here we're going to explore the SMID resurgence thesis, what it would mean for Equities as an asset class, and how we're taking advantage of it.
A lot of our focus in the Commodity space has been around Gold/Silver and Base Metals, and rightfully so as those have been trending well, but there are now several interesting setups in the Agriculture space.
In this post, we're exploring some emerging opportunities amongst the less widely-followed Commodities.
First, let's take a look at Rapeseed Mustard, which is a great example of how quickly these assets can move once they get going. Not only does this highlight the profit potential, but also the importance of risk management and respecting stops when things head in the wrong direction.
Since global markets are highly correlated, it's important to understand what's happening in Equities around the world before we get into what's happening in India's major indexes and individual stocks.
This week's talk of the town in the Technical Analysis community is the "Island Reversal", and rightfully so, as some of the world's strongest indexes are sporting this pattern.
Let's take a look and get into what it could mean for the days/weeks ahead.
Two weeks ago I wrote about the downside resolutions in Treasuries and Yen and the questions we would be asking in the days following. Given their rallies in the last week, we continue to ask those questions and observe what messages these "safe haven" assets are sending about the market.
This week's talk of the town is the "Island Reversal", and rightfully so, as some of the world's strongest indexes are sporting this pattern.
Let's take a look and get into what it could mean for the days/weeks ahead.
In early May we outlined the "Five Bull Market Barometers" we're watching to identify the beginning of a new bull market in stocks.
If you haven't read our initial post linked above, we'd encourage you to check it out so you understand what the rationale behind these five indicators is.
Thanks to everyone who participated in this week's Mystery Chart.
Some of you were sellers of this failed breakout, while others were anticipating a move back to new highs after this brief correction, but staying patient and waiting for confirmation first before entering.
It was a mixed bag overall, so let's get into what it was and what our interpretation is.