This is the video recording of our April 6, 2022, Inside Scoop Weekly Strategy Session.
Elon Will Be “Active” in Twitter
Before we dive into today’s note, we have an update on the Elon-versus-Twitter saga that’s been unfolding all week.
On Tuesday evening, Musk finally filed the appropriate Form 13D we were waiting for, reflecting his intentions as an “active” shareholder.
Breadth Deteriorates for King Dollar
From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @IanCulley
King dollar is sitting perched upon its throne. But the floor beneath it is beginning to crumble.
The rally in the US dollar index $DXY isn’t as strong as today’s fresh highs would suggest. In fact, when we dig beneath the surface, the dollar is only trending higher against a few currencies over shorter timeframes, while underperforming the vast majority.
Conveniently, the handful of currencies the USD continues to best are the most heavily weighted components of the US dollar index.
This lack of internal strength can be seen pretty much anywhere outside of the chart of DXY itself. Whether we’re looking at our USD trend summary table, our custom USD advance-decline line, or the individual crosses themselves, it all suggests the current trend in the dollar lacks support.
Let’s take a look.
The Inside Scoop (04-05-2022)
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza
One of the overarching themes since we launched the Inside Scoop and began writing about The Hot List each day has been the relentless interest in commodity stocks.
Coincidentally, these same stocks have exhibited incredible relative strength over this time period. It’s already been a few months, but we’re not seeing any signs of this trend slowing down.
We discussed a lot of these names during last week’s live strategy session. Click here to watch the replay and to download the accompanying chartbook.
And be sure to join us tomorrow at 1:00 p.m. ET for this week’s live strategy session.
Today, we’re going to talk about some new long setups that we’re getting involved with.
Elon Musk Joins Twitter Board
We had a feeling this one would be fun to watch unfold…
After just 24 hours of speculation and buzz about Elon Musk becoming the largest shareholder of Twitter, we already have some important follow-up news.
In an 8-K filed around 8:30 a.m. ET today, Twitter reported that Musk has been appointed to a board seat.
The only significant information in the filing is that Musk is restricted from becoming a beneficial owner of more than 14.9% of outstanding shares during the time he serves as a director (and 90 days thereafter).
Whether he already owns the 14.9% now or not is unknown. We should find out soon in a 13D and/or a Form 4 filing in the coming days.
Stay tuned. There’s going to be more to come on this one.
Follow the Flow (04-04-2022)
From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza
This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow.
In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish, but NOT both.
We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.
Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.
We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades.
What remains is a list of stocks that large financial institutions are putting big money behind.
They’re doing so for one reason only: because they think the stock is about to move in their direction and make them a pretty penny.
Then we flip through our list of stocks flashing unusual activity and pick the best setups using many of the same technical filters we do for our other scans.
And just like that, we’ll follow the money flow and fatten our own pockets along with some of the world’s most powerful financial institutions.
Under the Hood (04-04-2022)
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.
Welcome back to our latest Under the Hood column, where we’ll cover all the action for the week ended April 1, 2022. This report is published bi-weekly and rotated with our Minor Leaguers column.
What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.
We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.
There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.
Watch this video for a behind-the-scenes look at our process.
Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases, unusual options activity, or simply our proprietary lists of trending tickers, there’s a lot of overlap.
[PLUS] Weekly Momentum Report & Takeaways
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza
Check out this week’s Momentum Report, our weekly summation of all the major indexes at a Macro, International, Sector, and Industry Group level.
By analyzing the short-term data in these reports, we get a more tactical view of the current state of markets. This information then helps us put near-term developments into the big picture context and provides insights regarding the structural trends at play.
Let’s jump right into it with some of the major takeaways from this week’s report:
* ASC Plus Members can access the Momentum Report by clicking the link at the bottom of this post.
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