We retired our “Five Bull Market Barometers” in 2020 to make room for a new weekly post that’s focused on the three most important charts for the week ahead.
This is that post, so let’s jump into this week’s edition.
Expert technical analysis of financial markets by JC Parets
We retired our “Five Bull Market Barometers” in 2020 to make room for a new weekly post that’s focused on the three most important charts for the week ahead.
This is that post, so let’s jump into this week’s edition.
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza
Welcome to our latest Minor Leaguers report.
We’ve had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.
For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1B and $2B.
That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.
The way we did this is simple…
To make the cut for our revised Minor Leaguers list, a company must have a market cap between $1B and $4B.
And it doesn’t have to be a Russell component–it can be any US-listed equity. With participation expanding around the globe, we want all those ADRs in our universe.
After our price and liquidity filters are applied, we sort by proximity to new highs in order to focus on the best players.
But, instead of all-time highs, we’re sorting by 52-week highs these days, as we don’t want to discriminate against energy or other cyclical stocks.
The goal is to catch the strongest names while they’re still small and have serious upside potential. If any of these stocks ever climb the ranks to the big leagues, the returns could be huge.
We’re looking at up to 10x moves just to break into large-cap land!
Let’s dive into this week’s report and see what’s happening in some of the hottest stocks in the Minor Leagues.
From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza
This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow. In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish… but NOT both.
We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange.
Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients. Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.
We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades.
What remains is a list of stocks that large financial institutions are putting big money behind… and they’re doing so for one reason only: because they think the stock is about to move in their direction and make them a pretty penny.
Then we flip through our list of stocks flashing unusual activity and pick the best setups using many of the same technical filters we do for our other scans.
And, just like that, we’ll follow the money flow and fatten our own pockets along with some of the world’s most powerful financial institutions.
by JC
It’s easy to get lost in the weeds.
As humans, we’re vulnerable to it.
So it’s important to understand the way our minds work and set up gates that can bring us back home, to what’s important.
In the case of trading and investing, being on the right side of the trend.
A great way to do that is by zooming out.
Here’s Bitcoin, for example, going back to 2014.
Doesn’t this give you a much different perspective compared to most Bitcoin charts you see? [Read more…]
by David
Turtle Creek Asset Management continues to build its position in the door and window manufacturer JELD-WEN Holding $JELD.
Friday’s Form 4 filing is its fourth filing in just two weeks and reveals an additional $16.5 million of share purchases.
by JC
We are almost done with the first quarter of the calendar year and the last quarter of our financial year. There are certain sectors that are peeping out from beneath the surface and hence attracting attention. Is this a theme we may see play out in the quarter going forward? Most likely. Most sectors have remained sideways or subdued in their move and they are finally picking a side!
Today we are here to discuss one such sector and some interesting setups that one could take advantage of.
Let’s see what’s on the roster sheet today.
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza
Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.
These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.
It has all the big names and more.
It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that which you can check out here.
The Hall of Famers is simple.
We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.
Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.
by David
From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza
The biggest theme on our Hot List and Inside Scoop tables has been the strength from commodity stocks.
Since we launched the column, we’ve discussed the strength from energy stocks like Occidental Petroleum $OXY, agricultural stocks like Corteva $CTVA, and industrial metal names such as Freeport-McMoRan $FCX.
These names have all recently broken out and continue to show leadership. When the same theme continues to work, we want to continue to bet on it.
And that’s exactly what we’re doing with today’s setup.