From the Desk of Ian Culley @Ianculley
The strong US dollar and higher interest rates have dominated the conversation this year.
But the direction of the US Dollar Index $DXY has changed, breaking its year-to-date trendline earlier this month.
Will interest rates follow?
Not yet! So far, the uptrend remains intact for the five-, 10-, and 30-year yields. We have to give these trends the benefit of the doubt, for now.
Despite their persistence, it seems more a matter of when not if rates do eventually roll over.
Based on information from the US bond market and developed-market European yields, it could happen sooner than you might expect.