One of the most valuable tools we have as technicians is the ability to go through every single stock in the Dow Jones Industrial Average and every sector and sub-sector in the S&P500 so that we can weigh all of the evidence. It might take some time, but I promise you that there is no better way to gauge the strength or weakness in a market, than by going through them all. Since most people don't have the time to do this work as regularly as I do, my annotations and notes can easily be referenced in the Chartbook.
Today I wanted to share some of my conclusions after running through all of the Dow Components and S&P Sectors on both weekly and daily timeframes. This analysis consists of over 120 charts and all of them have been updated today in the Chartbook.
Every month I host a conference call for All Star Charts Members where we discuss ongoing themes throughout the global marketplace as well as changes in trends where new positions would be most appropriate. This includes U.S. Stocks & Sectors, International Stock Indexes, Commodities, Currencies and Interest Rate Markets.
This month's Conference Call will be held on Wednesday May 11, 2016 at 7PM ET. In this month's call, we will discuss the following topics:
- How Much Can The U.S. Stock Market Fall in Q2?
- Why European Banks Are The Most Important Sector On Earth
The Stock Market has gone no where in 6 weeks since we originally wanted to take profits on all of the long positions we were laying out in late January and early February. During this period of no advance, we have seen a massive deterioration in market breadth with fewer stocks participating. Important sectors like Technology are breaking down hard, which is further evidence that taking profits in late March was the best course of action.
At this point, we now want to err on the short side and aggressively be positioned to take advantage of more selling to come in stocks.
There has been a lot of talk about how the recent rally has been accompanied by a dramatic improvement in market breadth, so I took the time to see if the data I track supported that conclusion.
The first study on the major S&P 500 sectors and US Indices was completed by calculating how far the indexes were from their 52-week high compared to the average component in the index.
With the deterioration in market breadth throughout the entire month of April and bearish momentum divergences showing up in some of the most important stocks, sectors and countries in the world, I think some exposure on the short side here is warranted.
Today we're going over my favorite short of all the Dow 30 Components.
We had a nice run in the U.S. stock market throughout February and March. We obviously couldn't be happier to have seen that as we turned bullish just as the rally was getting started. However, this month, while most of the major U.S. Indexes made new highs, the breadth has weakened. We are seeing fewer and fewer stocks and sectors participating and I think the deterioration in breadth is the beginning of more broad selling to come.
Today there is one stock I think we need to mention as an aggressive shorting opportunity:
Every month I host a conference call for All Star Charts Members where we discuss ongoing themes throughout the global marketplace as well as changes in trends where new positions would be most appropriate. This includes U.S. Stocks & Sectors, International Stock Indexes, Commodities, Currencies and Interest Rate Markets.
This month's Conference Call will be held on Wednesday April 13, 2016 at 7PM ET.
In this month's premium members conference call, we will discuss the following topics:
- How Low Can U.S. Stocks Go From Up Here??
- A Few Non-correlated Trades to Add To Your Portfolio
- What Is The Best Trade In Precious Metals Today?
- How Do We Trade Crude Oil Now?
- What Does The Behavior of Financials Say About Risk-Appetite
- Ags Can Be A Monster, But How High Can They Go?
As always, we'll leave as much time for Q&A as possible.
