For me it's not just about buying a group of stocks, but about buying the strongest members of that group. I am a firm believer that by erring on the long side of relative strength or erring on the short side of relative weakness, the odds of a continuation in trend is much greater than the odds of a reversal. Therefore, there is a higher probability of success by following trend, rather than trying to fight trends. So today I want to talk about how we're going to take this top/down approach and apply it to find profitable trades this month in Energy stocks.
Every month I host a conference call for All Star Charts Premium Members where we discuss ongoing themes throughout the global marketplace as well as changes in trends where new positions would be most appropriate. This includes U.S. Stocks & Sectors, International Stock Indexes, Commodities, Currencies and Interest Rate Markets.
Over the past 10 days I have been traveling throughout southeast Asia learning new strategies and perspectives from local traders and investors. I'm lucky that I truly love what I do and the evolution of my process is far from complete. Every day the world is getting smaller and more interconnected than ever. Although cultures my be very different, the human psyche is universal. Our emotions controlled by fear and greed can be seen everywhere from New York City, to St. Louis, MO to London, to Kuala Lumpur. The difference is simply the perspective from which each investor sees the world, and therefore the marketplace. Trying to get inside the mind of these investors has been a fascinating process and I firmly believe that it gives me a leg up over everyone else.
These are the recorded video presentations from Chart Summit, the first ever Virtual Technical Analysis Conference. Premium Members of Allstarcharts get private access to these videos to view at your own pace. I hope you get as much value out of these as I did.
When you talk about sectors that have been out of favor for a long time, it is hard not to think about the Shippers. Although as a group they bottomed out in February last year along with the S&P500 and a lot of other major indexes and sectors, they haven't really done much ever since. It's been more of a sideways, frustrating grind for anyone involved, both longs and shorts.
This week I dug a little deeper into this space and I wanted to share some of my findings. Also note that some of these stocks are not exactly mega-caps. They're poor little shippers. So before doing anything, make sure you check for enough liquidity to fit your parameters. Some are also much smaller market-caps than we're used to talking about here, so just a heads up.
As I mentioned recently, I've been working with some new technology and it's allowing me to easily share analysis in a much more detailed way from a sub-sector perspective. In the first top/down review last week we looked at the Media stocks. Today I want to take a deep dive into the precious metals market and really drill down how we want to approach this market. There is more sensitivity when it comes to participants in this market so knowing that is advantageous. We want to 1) recognize this added sensitivity and 2) try to take advantage of that for profit.
One of the things I've been working on behind the scenes is building the technology necessary to deliver my sub-sector analysis. Until now, you guys only see the end results. Through the Chartbook, I've been able give you access to my analysis on many things, including the sector and sub-sector ETFs. Once I've concluded that I like a particular sector, long or short, I'll then break down the components of that sector to find stocks that can participate in direction of my overall thesis. I share those with you on the weekly letters, monthly conference calls and quarterly playbooks. Moving forward, I'm going to be sending you individual deep dives into different US sub-sectors when I see something that stands out.
Today's deep dive analysis is on Media Stocks. This is a sub-sector of the overall Consumer Discretionary space: