Last night was the big LIVE Event that I host at the beginning of every month.
There is no better way to start a new month, and in this case a new quarter, than going one by one and identifying the direction of primary trends for the world's most important stocks and assets.
Just for perspective, here are the S&P500 and Nasdaq100 Quarterly Candlesticks making new all-time highs, again.
As you can see, these are the types of things you tend to see in bull markets. You do NOT see them in bear markets.
We saw some of the most bullish sentiment readings in years. And this sentiment came after a historic rally for equities throughout the 4th quarter last year that couldn't miss. Everything was working.
But things can't just go up forever. They need to rest eventually, and reset some of that excessive optimism.
That's exactly what happened.
Despite some of the growth indexes making new highs, a lot of the most important groups of stocks have done absolutely nothing since February.
Look at Consumer Discretionary, Financials, Industrials and Healthcare trading sideways to down this entire time:
Tomorrow is the last day of June. So do you know what that means????
NEW MONTHLY CHARTS!!!!
If you're new around here, I will just tell you that there is NOTHING, and I mean absolutely NOTHING, I do that adds more value to my approach than this process of taking a step back and reviewing a list of Monthly Charts.
It's so easy to get lost in the day to day noise of the markets.... What did the Dow do today? What did the Powell say? Who reported earnings this morning? etc etc...
I have found over the years that it is so important to just stop, take a deep breath, and focus on the direction of the primary trends.
The reason is because asset prices trend. They're not random. We know this. It's just a fact.
So if we know for a fact that asset prices trend, don't you think it would be advantageous to identify the direction of those trends?
As it turns out the answer is an overwhelming YES!
Here's a good example of the Nasdaq going back 25 years.
The U.S. Industrials sector represents one of the most important groups of stocks in the entire market.
So with new all-time highs in the S&P500 and Russell3000, then why are Industrials, who historically have the highest correlation with these indexes, not able to keep up?
Industrials are actually down over the past 3 months.
But the Aerospace & Defense stocks, that fall within the category of Industrials, continue to hit new all-time highs.