Going through our universe of coverage I noticed weakness in the Rupee over the last week, so this post is going to help put that into the perspective of the longer-term trend and outline how we're approaching it.
Today I want to follow up on that post by diving into the Nifty PSU Bank Index components to see if what we're seeing there supports the action that's occurring in the equally-weighted index.
The Nifty Public Sector Bank and Media sectors of the market have been laggards for a while, but we're now beginning to see signs that rotation into these areas is ahead.
The trend for NIFTY stocks is up. That has not changed. Like many stocks and indexes around the world, NIFTY been mostly stagnant since early 2018. Unlike most stocks and indexes, however, NIFTY has managed to put in higher lows and higher highs along the way. So it's not just a consolidation.
I do believe NIFTY resolves this consolidation higher and heads up towards 13,000 - this is the target: