In an environment where volatility has picked up at the index level and there are more mixed signals in the market, we want to be more selective in the longs and shorts we put on.
An important part of tightening up our risk management across the board is knowing what timeframe is relevant to us, both at the portfolio and individual stock level.
Today we want to look at an example in Jubilant Foodworks to highlight this concept.
For those new to the exercise, we take a chart of interest and remove the x/y-axes and any other labels that would help identify it. The chart can be any security in any asset class on any timeframe on an absolute or relative basis. Maybe it’s a custom index or inverted, who knows!
We do all this to put aside the biases we have associated with this specific security/the market and come to a conclusion based solely on price.
You can guess what it is if you must, but the real value comes from sharing what you would do right now. Buy, Sell, or Do Nothing?
We retired our "Five Bull Market Barometers" in mid-July to make room for a new weekly post that's focused on the three most important charts for the week ahead.
This is that post, so let's jump into this week's edition.
In the futures markets, commercial hedgers are considered the "smart money" because they deal in a business that the asset they're trading is related to. On the other hand, speculators are simply outsiders looking to benefit from the price movements in that asset.
Hedgers also have much deeper pockets than the typical rank and file speculator, so when they're making extreme bets in one direction or another...we want to be paying attention.
...And right now, commercial hedgers are selling Copper like there's no tomorrow.
We retired our "Five Bull Market Barometers" in mid-July to make room for a new weekly post that's focused on the three most important charts for the week ahead.
This is that post, so let's jump into this week's edition.
One of the primary focuses was the historic rate of change since the March lows and the historical data that suggested forward returns are worse than average following these types of readings.